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-2,-5 cube - ROLLOUT

Posted By: Keene
Date: Sunday, 21 June 2009, at 5:21 p.m.

In Response To: -2,-5 cube (Keene)

As expected, huge ND, huge Take. I scooped it up.

The score (after 3 games) is: AltarBoy 5, kilted 2 (match to 7 points)

Move number 11: AltarBoy on roll, cube decision?

AltarBoy	136
kilted	138
Position ID: sO8GATDYbYMBIg Match ID: MAHgAFAAEAAA

• AltarBoy doubles

Alert: wrong double ( -0.169)! [very bad]

Cube decision
Rollout cubeless equity		+0.866	(Money: +0.805)
Cubeful equities:
1.	No double	+0.886
2.	Double, pass	+1.000	+0.114
3.	Double, take	+0.718	-0.169
Proper cube action:		No double, take (59.8%)
Rollout details
Win W g W bg Lose L g L bg Cubeless Cubeful Centered 1-cube 0.763 0.259 0.076 - 0.237 0.053 0.003 +0.866 +0.886 Standard error 0.002 0.005 0.005 - 0.002 0.001 0.000 0.008 0.010 Player kilted owns 2-cube 0.760 0.347 0.103 - 0.240 0.052 0.011 +1.578 +0.718 Standard error 0.002 0.008 0.006 - 0.002 0.001 0.002 0.011 0.019
Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
1296 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 857155273 and quasi-random dice
Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.16
Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

Messages In This Thread

• -2,-5 cube
  Keene -- Saturday, 20 June 2009, at 11:05 p.m.
  • -2,-5 cube
    Rich Munitz -- Sunday, 21 June 2009, at 12:07 a.m.
  • -2,-5 cube
    neilkaz -- Sunday, 21 June 2009, at 1:45 a.m.
  • -2,-5 cube
    adambulldog -- Sunday, 21 June 2009, at 5:18 a.m.
  • -2,-5 cube
    Stick -- Sunday, 21 June 2009, at 8:19 a.m.
  • -2,-5 cube - ROLLOUT
    Keene -- Sunday, 21 June 2009, at 5:21 p.m.