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-3,-7 cube action ROLLOUT

Posted By: Keene
Date: Tuesday, 23 June 2009, at 1:32 a.m.

In Response To: -3,-7 cube action (Keene)

Surprised? I am!

The score (after 3 games) is: Dickenz 0, kilted 4 (match to 7 points)

Move number 21: kilted on roll, cube decision?

Dickenz	139
kilted	114
Position ID: dDcFMAzYnQ0HAA Match ID: cAngAAAAIAAA

• kilted doubles

Alert: wrong double ( -0.109)! [very bad]

Cube decision
Rollout cubeless equity		+0.519	(Money: +0.557)
Cubeful equities:
1.	No double	+0.740
2.	Double, pass	+1.000	+0.260
3.	Double, take	+0.631	-0.109
Proper cube action:		No double, take (29.6%)
Rollout details
Win W g W bg Lose L g L bg Cubeless Cubeful Centered 1-cube 0.731 0.120 0.004 - 0.269 0.030 0.001 +0.519 +0.740 Standard error 0.001 0.003 0.001 - 0.001 0.001 0.000 0.003 0.007 Player Dickenz owns 2-cube 0.735 0.148 0.009 - 0.265 0.030 0.003 +0.946 +0.631 Standard error 0.001 0.005 0.002 - 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.008 0.011
Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
1296 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 857369603 and quasi-random dice
Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.16
Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

Messages In This Thread

• -3,-7 cube action
  Keene -- Sunday, 21 June 2009, at 6:59 a.m.
  • -3,-7 cube action
    Matt Cohn-Geier -- Sunday, 21 June 2009, at 7:12 a.m.
  • -3,-7 cube action
    pontiac -- Sunday, 21 June 2009, at 9:46 a.m.
  • -3,-7 cube action
    adambulldog -- Sunday, 21 June 2009, at 2:56 p.m.
  • -3,-7 cube action
    Rich Munitz -- Sunday, 21 June 2009, at 3:26 p.m.
    • -3,-7 cube action
      Keene -- Monday, 22 June 2009, at 3:02 p.m.
      • -3,-7 cube action
        Rich Munitz -- Monday, 22 June 2009, at 5:52 p.m.
  • rollout - note - mets
    rew -- Monday, 22 June 2009, at 12:22 p.m.
    • rollout - note - mets
      rew -- Monday, 22 June 2009, at 7:25 p.m.
  • -3,-7 cube action ROLLOUT
    Keene -- Tuesday, 23 June 2009, at 1:32 a.m.
    • -3,-7 cube action ROLLOUT
      MaX -- Tuesday, 23 June 2009, at 10:50 a.m.