[ View Thread ] [ Post Response ] [ Return to Index ] [ Read Prev Msg ] [ Read Next Msg ]

BGonline.org Forums

Cube decision

Posted By: Bob Koca
Date: Tuesday, 23 June 2009, at 5:34 a.m.

In Response To: Cube decision (Chuck Bower)

Do you got statsig CB?

How does white win: Immediately or in 2 rolls.

Immediate wins give 6 games in 36. Instead of seeing how often white takes 2 rolls it seems easier here to see how often white takes 3+:

21: 2 X 22 = 44

11 or 31: 3 X 17 = 51. 44 + 51 = 95

32 or 41: 4 X 9 = 36. 95 + 36 = 131

42 or 51: 4 x 5 = 20 131 + 20 = 151

Any 7: 6 X 2 = 12 151 + 12 = 163

4 X 36 = 144. which is 19 below 163. So about 4.5 times 3 or more rolls would be needed. This gives 36 - 6 - 4.5 = 25.5 times off in exactly 2. Taking off a 6th gives 25.5 - 4.25 = 21.25 wins. Adding the 6 immediate wins gives about 27.25 wins cubeless.

After the 12 Blue is a 23.5 - 12.5 favorite. The cube doubles that advantage so give an extra 9/36 for each of those two games gaining .5 games worth of equity. We are down to 26.75 wins and blue has a tiny bit of cube power after 13 or 11 also.

D/T for money.

Messages In This Thread

 

Post Response
Your Name:
Your E-Mail Address:
Subject:
Message:

If necessary, enter your password below:

Password:
 

 

[ View Thread ] [ Post Response ] [ Return to Index ] [ Read Prev Msg ] [ Read Next Msg ]

BGonline.org Forums is maintained by Stick with WebBBS 5.12.