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Cube decision

Posted By: Christian Munk-Christensen
Date: Tuesday, 23 June 2009, at 8:48 a.m.

In Response To: Cube decision (Michael Petch)

Blue wins 5/36 in the first sequence.

How often does white not get off in 2 rolls? After rolling a 11, 21 or a 31 white is roughly 50/50 to miss on the following shake, provided that blue misses. Let's give blue 2 of these games.

After rolling a 41 or a 32 white is 25% to get miss, so let's give blue 1 of these games.

There are some other combinations where white rolls small twice and will need 3 rolls to bear off. I'll give blue 1 game in these scenarios.

So my total is 9/36 wins for blue.

AtS this spells big cube /small take.

Blue has little cube vig, since he'll only have a recube after white rolls 11,21,31 IMO. If he had more recube vig, then the take would be trivial but as it is, I did need to do a little bit of counting. :-)

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