BGonline.org Forums

Another -3,-7 cube!

Posted By: Keene
Date: Thursday, 25 June 2009, at 2:23 a.m.

In Response To: Another -3,-7 cube! (Keene)

I took a roll - to try for the G here! And... DING DING DING! I suppose this must lie somewhere inbetween Stick's guidelines - which I do like, and will likely use for future reference.

The score (after 1 game) is: dm 0, kilted 4 (match to 7 points)

Move number 28: kilted to play 64

dm	86
kilted	104
Position ID: d3MYEAhxtw0CBA Match ID: cAnzAAAAIAAA

• kilted moves 13/9*/3*

Alert: missed double ( -0.081)! [very bad]

Cube decision
Rollout cubeless equity		+0.680	(Money: +0.703)
Cubeful equities:
1.	Double, take	+0.836
2.	Double, pass	+1.000	+0.164
3.	No double	+0.755	-0.081
Proper cube action:		Double, take
Rollout details
Win W g W bg Lose L g L bg Cubeless Cubeful Centered 1-cube 0.756 0.236 0.009 - 0.244 0.053 0.001 +0.680 +0.755 Standard error 0.001 0.003 0.001 - 0.001 0.001 0.000 0.003 0.006 Player dm owns 2-cube 0.765 0.242 0.016 - 0.235 0.052 0.002 +1.118 +0.836 Standard error 0.001 0.004 0.002 - 0.001 0.001 0.000 0.009 0.011
Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
1296 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 857369603 and quasi-random dice
Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.16
Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

#		Ply	Move	Equity
•	1	0	13/9*/3*	+1.007
			0.819 0.359 0.010 - 0.181 0.048 0.001
	2	0	21/15 13/9*	+0.834 ( -0.172)
			0.791 0.249 0.007 - 0.209 0.063 0.001
	3	0	13/9* 7/1	+0.757 ( -0.250)
			0.754 0.334 0.008 - 0.246 0.078 0.002
	4	0	13/3*	+0.362 ( -0.645)
			0.658 0.185 0.004 - 0.342 0.093 0.001
	5	0	7/3* 7/1	+0.269 ( -0.737)
			0.636 0.271 0.007 - 0.364 0.139 0.003

Messages In This Thread

• Another -3,-7 cube!
  Keene -- Tuesday, 23 June 2009, at 11:49 p.m.
  • Another -3,-7 cube!
    Rich Munitz -- Wednesday, 24 June 2009, at 2:12 a.m.
  • Another -3,-7 cube!
    Stick -- Wednesday, 24 June 2009, at 3:32 a.m.
  • Another -3,-7 cube!
    Neil Robins -- Wednesday, 24 June 2009, at 7:46 a.m.
  • Another -3,-7 cube!
    Sam Pottle -- Wednesday, 24 June 2009, at 8:15 a.m.
  • Another -3,-7 cube!
    neilkaz -- Thursday, 25 June 2009, at 12:32 a.m.
  • Another -3,-7 cube!
    Keene -- Thursday, 25 June 2009, at 2:23 a.m.