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BGonline.org Forums
Rollout & Utter Disbelief
Posted By: Stick In Response To: SM v. GNU (Stick)
Date: Friday, 26 June 2009, at 9:11 p.m.
After 22/18 21/18 there are a raging 24 numbers that hit back and piss away at least half of that race lead we have. After making the 3pt there are only 9 rolls that hit and of course 5 more rolls that dance. (though 1 more blot technically even though I'm not really concerned with the blot count at the moment)
It's easy to see making the 3pt wins more gammons, it's safe to say that making the defensive bar point likely loses less gammons, what I don't see or get is the staggering amount of games anchoring up wins in comparison to making the 3pt. Guess I'm a donkey. Moo!
The score (after 0 games) is: gnubg 4, user 2 (match to 13 points)
gnubg 176
user 141 Position ID: sLNhwEiY14UBCg Match ID: cImxAUAAEAAA
# Ply Move Equity 1 R 22/18 21/18 +0.1642
0.5360 0.1371 0.0052 - 0.4640 0.1160 0.0051 +0.1029 +0.1642 0.0016 0.0016 0.0003 - 0.0016 0.0017 0.0004 0.0040 0.0095 Full cubeful rollout with var.redn. 1669 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 862107366 and quasi-random dice Play: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 12 more moves within equity 0.16 Skip pruning for 1-ply moves. Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] • 2 R 7/3 6/3 +0.0625 ( -0.1017)
0.4899 0.1859 0.0094 - 0.5101 0.1287 0.0066 +0.0535 +0.0625 0.0018 0.0019 0.0008 - 0.0018 0.0016 0.0005 0.0051 0.0118 Full cubeful rollout with var.redn. 1669 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 862107366 and quasi-random dice Play: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 12 more moves within equity 0.16 Skip pruning for 1-ply moves. Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
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