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Variance?

Posted By: Petter Bengtsson
Date: Saturday, 27 June 2009, at 10:15 p.m.

In Response To: Opening 21 Rollout on eXtreme (Stick)


I rolled out 21S, and after 1296 games the variance is already much lower than in your 15552 games rollout.

I'm using eXtreme Gammon 1.00 trial version which I downloaded yesterday.

 

1. Rollout¹ 24/23 13/11 eq:-0,029 (-0,028)
Player : 49,68% (G:13,23% B:0,63%)
Opponent: 50,32% (G:12,93% B:0,72%)
Confidence: ± 0,021 (-0,050 Duration: 48 minutes 31 seconds

¹ 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3 ply Red, cube decisions: 3 ply

I've also posted a 6480 games XG rollout in the "SM v. GNU - 62 to play" thread, and the variance is low there also.



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