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Cube action - ROLLOUT

Posted By: Keene
Date: Tuesday, 30 June 2009, at 2:15 a.m.

In Response To: Cube action (Keene)

Ridiculous ND/T. Looks scary though!

The score (after 0 games) is: bulgari 0, kilted 0 (match to 7 points)

Move number 32: bulgari on roll, cube decision?

bulgari	115
kilted	163
Position ID: bBuwAVi29YBBIA Match ID: AQHgAAAAAAAA

• bulgari doubles

Alert: wrong double ( -0.259)! [very bad]

Cube decision
Rollout cubeless equity		+0.335	(Money: +0.419)
Cubeful equities:
1.	No double	+0.497
2.	Double, pass	+1.000	+0.503
3.	Double, take	+0.238	-0.259
Proper cube action:		No redouble, take (34.0%)
Rollout details
Win W g W bg Lose L g L bg Cubeless Cubeful Player bulgari owns 2-cube 0.567 0.294 0.101 - 0.433 0.104 0.006 +0.335 +0.497 Standard error 0.002 0.002 0.005 - 0.002 0.003 0.001 0.005 0.011 Player kilted owns 4-cube 0.566 0.298 0.165 - 0.434 0.104 0.016 +0.676 +0.238 Standard error 0.002 0.003 0.007 - 0.002 0.004 0.002 0.012 0.016
Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
1296 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 861994259 and quasi-random dice
Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.16
Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

Messages In This Thread

• Cube action
  Keene -- Sunday, 28 June 2009, at 7:14 p.m.
  • Cube action
    Neil Robins -- Sunday, 28 June 2009, at 9:49 p.m.
  • Cube action
    neilkaz -- Monday, 29 June 2009, at 2:56 a.m.
  • Cube action
    Rich Munitz -- Monday, 29 June 2009, at 4:30 a.m.
  • Cube action - ROLLOUT
    Keene -- Tuesday, 30 June 2009, at 2:15 a.m.