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Re: Re: Rollout...but !!

Posted By: Daniel Murphy
Date: Thursday, 19 April 2007, at 6:04 p.m.

In Response To: Re: Rollout...but !! (neilkaz)

Right -- 2-ply thinks 24/18 -> D/T, but it's a pass.

The score (after 0 games) is: White 0, Blue 0 (match to 11 points)

Move number 6: White on roll, cube decision?

White103


'2X2X3X2X2X1O ' ' ' '1X

' '4O1X2O2O3O3O ' ' '2X

Blue97

Position ID: PNsdgAC220ADBA Match ID: AQFgAQAAAAAA

• White doubles

Cube decision
Rollout cubeless equity +0.6470(Money: +0.6234)
Cubeful equities:
1.Double, pass +1.0000
2.Double, take +1.1946 +0.1946
3.No double +0.8061 -0.1939
Proper cube action:Redouble, pass
Rollout details
WinW gW bg LoseL gL bgCubelessCubeful
Player White owns 2-cube0.74820.16630.0035-0.25180.02310.0197 +0.6470 +0.8061
Standard error0.00720.01000.0017-0.00720.00790.0177 0.0205 0.0273
Player Blue owns 4-cube0.76890.16280.0012-0.23110.03310.0020 +1.3759 +1.1946
Standard error0.00630.01310.0010-0.00630.00310.0003 0.0421 0.0484
Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
36 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 1057867718 and quasi-random dice
Play: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.12
Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]


Annotation

Cube analysis
2-ply cubeless equity +0.5792 (Money: +0.5744)
0.7365 0.1403 0.0036 - 0.2635 0.0413 0.0013
Cubeful equities:
1. Double, take +0.9829
2. Double, pass +1.0000 ( +0.0171)
3. No double +0.7350 ( -0.2479)
Proper cube action: Redouble, take

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