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3aw-3aw double decision

Posted By: John O'Hagan
Date: Tuesday, 30 June 2009, at 2:54 p.m.

In Response To: 3aw-3aw double decision (aoleg1)

Does Blue have a take? He needs around 25% cubeless to take ATS and, at first glance, he appears to have an easy take since he's just 4 pips down in a medium length race. Everything else being equal, I think the leader in a 78-82 race has around 68% cubeless chances. The vig favors White in this position since Blue blots next time with 6 numbers and Blue's vacant 4-point is worse than White's open 3-point. This makes the T/P decision a closer call so it's certainly a double, I would think. I doubt the vig factors are enough to push this into pass territory, so D/T gets my vote.

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