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13backgame 22 to play

Posted By: Tommy Nesbakk
Date: Wednesday, 1 July 2009, at 1:09 p.m.

In Response To: 13backgame 22 to play (Tommy Nesbakk)

My friend did a rollout with Snowie 4, 2592 trials

I myself did a GNU rollout, 5184 trials

For some reason, they disagree :)

Snowie:

1. R 17/15(2) 16/14(2) Eq.: -0,234

0,2% 5,2% 43,4% 56,6% 27,2% 4,2%

95% confidence interval:

- money cubeless eq.: -0,393 ±0,012.

Rollout settings:

Full rollout,

2592 games (equiv. 48991 games),

played 3-ply (precise),

random seed, with race database.

2. R 16/8* Eq.: -0,242 (-0,008)

0,4% 6,3% 44,4% 55,6% 30,1% 5,8%

95% confidence interval:

- money cubeless eq.: -0,404 ±0,014.

Rollout settings:

Full rollout,

2592 games (equiv. 37291 games),

played 3-ply (precise),

random seed, with race database.

3. R 16/12(2) Eq.: -0,266 (-0,032)

0,3% 5,7% 42,2% 57,8% 28,0% 4,5%

95% confidence interval:

- money cubeless eq.: -0,420 ±0,012.

Rollout settings:

Full rollout,

2592 games (equiv. 47734 games),

played 3-ply (precise),

random seed, with race database.

4. 2 16/14(2) 14/10 Eq.: -0,460 (-0,225)

0,3% 5,9% 39,2% 60,8% 39,2% 5,8%

5. 2 16/10 5/3 Eq.: -0,482 (-0,247)

0,3% 6,1% 37,2% 62,8% 37,5% 5,2%

GNU:

1. Rollout 16/8* Eq.: -0,186

0,443 0,063 0,003 - 0,557 0,305 0,055 CL -0,408 CF -0,186

[0,002 0,001 0,000 - 0,002 0,002 0,001 CL 0,005 CF 0,006]

Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.

5184 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 862416156 and quasi-random dice

Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0,16

Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.

Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

2. Rollout 17/15(2) 16/14(2) Eq.: -0,221 ( -0,035)

0,419 0,048 0,002 - 0,581 0,269 0,038 CL -0,419 CF -0,221

[0,001 0,001 0,000 - 0,001 0,001 0,001 CL 0,003 CF 0,005]

Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.

5184 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 862416156 and quasi-random dice

Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0,16

Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.

Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

Messages In This Thread

• 13backgame 22 to play
  Tommy Nesbakk -- Tuesday, 30 June 2009, at 3:53 p.m.
  • 13backgame 22 to play
    Rich Munitz -- Tuesday, 30 June 2009, at 4:18 p.m.
  • 13backgame 22 to play
    Bob Koca -- Tuesday, 30 June 2009, at 4:59 p.m.
  • 13backgame 22 to play
    neilkaz -- Tuesday, 30 June 2009, at 5:03 p.m.
  • 13backgame 22 to play
    Christian Munk-Christensen -- Tuesday, 30 June 2009, at 6:35 p.m.
  • 13backgame 22 to play
    Chuck Bower -- Tuesday, 30 June 2009, at 6:59 p.m.
  • 13backgame 22 to play
    Keene -- Tuesday, 30 June 2009, at 7:15 p.m.
  • 13backgame 22 to play
    Matt Cohn-Geier -- Tuesday, 30 June 2009, at 9:30 p.m.
  • 13backgame 22 to play
    Tommy Nesbakk -- Wednesday, 1 July 2009, at 1:09 p.m.
    • Bot prop?
      Chuck Bower -- Wednesday, 1 July 2009, at 1:44 p.m.