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Rollout

Posted By: neilkaz
Date: Wednesday, 1 July 2009, at 3:52 p.m.

In Response To: 41 backgame..obviously a big pass..lets compare bot evals, (Neil Robins)

All bots are a bit pessimistic here, with BGB being far off and obvious JF which thinks this is cubeless 1.031 for Blue also far off.

The score (after 0 games) is: Opp 0, Neil Kazaross 0

Move number 3: Neil Kazaross on roll, cube decision?

Pip counts: Opp 168, Neil Kazaross 50
Position ID: 2LYBiDHueQMAAA Match ID: cAkAAAAAAAAA

• Neil Kazaross doubles

Cube decision
Rollout cubeless equity		+0.8878
Cubeful equities:
1.	Double, pass	+1.0000
2.	Double, take	+1.4384	+0.4384
3.	No double	+0.8703	-0.1297
Proper cube action:		Double, pass
Rollout details
Win W g W bg Lose L g L bg Cubeless Cubeful Centered 1-cube 0.6612 0.4780 0.0874 - 0.3388 0.0000 0.0000 +0.8878 +0.8703 Standard error 0.0016 0.0015 0.0015 - 0.0016 0.0000 0.0000 0.0040 0.0068 Player Opp owns 2-cube 0.6586 0.4780 0.0944 - 0.3414 0.0000 0.0000 +1.7792 +1.4384 Standard error 0.0025 0.0026 0.0021 - 0.0025 0.0000 0.0000 0.0150 0.0184
Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
1524 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 861968204 and quasi-random dice
Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.16
Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

Messages In This Thread

• 41 backgame..obviously a big pass..lets compare bot evals,
  neilkaz -- Wednesday, 1 July 2009, at 2:57 a.m.
  • 41 backgame..obviously a big pass..lets compare bot evals,
    Neil Robins -- Wednesday, 1 July 2009, at 8:22 a.m.
    • Rollout
      neilkaz -- Wednesday, 1 July 2009, at 3:52 p.m.