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MCG vs. Stick cube action Rollout

Posted By: Matt Cohn-Geier
Date: Thursday, 2 July 2009, at 4:04 a.m.

In Response To: MCG vs. Stick cube action (Matt Cohn-Geier)

The score (after 4 games) is: atrifix 0, Stick 9 (match to 13 points)

Move number 2: White on roll, cube decision?

White	153
Blue	159
Position ID: 4PPEATBsTvABMA Match ID: MAGgAQAASAAA

• White doubles

Cube decision
Rollout cubeless equity		+0.3995	(Money: +0.3535)
Cubeful equities:
1.	No double	+0.5492
2.	Double, pass	+1.0000	+0.4508
3.	Double, take	+0.4998	-0.0494
Proper cube action:		No double, take (9.9%)
Rollout details
Win W g W bg Lose L g L bg Cubeless Cubeful Centered 1-cube 0.6209 0.2188 0.0120 - 0.3791 0.1087 0.0104 +0.3995 +0.5492 Standard error 0.0009 0.0010 0.0003 - 0.0009 0.0010 0.0007 0.0030 0.0052 Player Blue owns 2-cube 0.6245 0.2161 0.0116 - 0.3755 0.1056 0.0134 +0.5488 +0.4998 Standard error 0.0011 0.0011 0.0005 - 0.0011 0.0011 0.0009 0.0055 0.0061
Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
5184 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 862194295 and quasi-random dice
Play: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 12 more moves within equity 0.2
Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

Messages In This Thread

• MCG vs. Stick cube action
  Matt Cohn-Geier -- Tuesday, 30 June 2009, at 6:32 a.m.
  • MCG vs. Stick cube action
    garyo -- Tuesday, 30 June 2009, at 12:13 p.m.
  • MCG vs. Stick cube action
    John O'Hagan -- Tuesday, 30 June 2009, at 3:12 p.m.
  • MCG vs. Stick cube action
    neilkaz -- Tuesday, 30 June 2009, at 3:46 p.m.
  • MCG vs. Stick cube action Rollout
    Matt Cohn-Geier -- Thursday, 2 July 2009, at 4:04 a.m.