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Rollout

Posted By: Stick
Date: Sunday, 26 November 2006, at 3:44 a.m.

In Response To: OLM - Fri. Nov. 24th - Cube Decision (Stick)

The take to me was very clear here. I have a two point game if all else goes to hell and my offensive structure will provide good counterplay (if I can stay off the bar). It's still a must double I think, esp. since not everyone here was clear on the take part of it. It's certainly a volatile enough position (do you think I take after a hit/fan sequence?) to merit a cube.


Match to 25, tied at 0
Blue on roll. Cube Action?
155
130
Board image courtesy of GO-Figure

Cube action equity
Rollout Money equity: 0.488
1.3% 22.9% 66.3% 33.7% 7.6% 0.5%
95% confidence interval: - money cubeless eq.: 0.488 ±0.017. Rollout settings: Full rollout, 648 games (equiv. 19562 games), played 3-ply (precise), random seed, with race database.
1. Double, take 0.730
2. No double 0.702 (-0.028)
3. Double, pass 1.000 (+0.270)
Proper cube action: Double, take

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