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Rollout

Posted By: Stick
Date: Tuesday, 7 July 2009, at 5:45 p.m.

In Response To: More Bias (Stick)

I stand by my pass here. If I would have entered last shake I take against anyone but staying on the bar was a crusher and the only way I see my opponent winning this match is by luckboxing a gammon. I passed, won the match, slept well at night.

The score (after 0 games) is: gnubg 6, user 8 (match to 11 points)

Move number 3: gnubg on roll, cube decision?

gnubg	108
user	175
Position ID: YtsEYEzcOYMLAA Match ID: MAFgAWAAQAAA

• gnubg doubles

Cube decision
Rollout cubeless equity		+0.5608	(Money: +0.4725)
Cubeful equities:
1.	Double, take	+0.9016
2.	Double, pass	+1.0000	+0.0984
3.	No double	+0.8624	-0.0392
Proper cube action:		Double, take
Rollout details
Win W g W bg Lose L g L bg Cubeless Cubeful Centered 1-cube 0.6282 0.2586 0.0106 - 0.3718 0.0500 0.0031 +0.5608 +0.8624 Standard error 0.0018 0.0021 0.0006 - 0.0018 0.0023 0.0009 0.0053 0.0112 Player user owns 2-cube 0.6299 0.2628 0.0100 - 0.3701 0.0444 0.0038 +1.1009 +0.9016 Standard error 0.0020 0.0024 0.0008 - 0.0020 0.0029 0.0011 0.0116 0.0136
Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
1075 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 862530894 and quasi-random dice
Play: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 12 more moves within equity 0.16
Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

Messages In This Thread

• More Bias
  Stick -- Monday, 6 July 2009, at 5:52 p.m.
  • Rollout
    Stick -- Tuesday, 7 July 2009, at 5:45 p.m.
    • Rollout
      neilkaz -- Tuesday, 7 July 2009, at 6:11 p.m.
    • Rollout
      Christian Munk-Christensen -- Wednesday, 8 July 2009, at 8:03 p.m.