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Rollouts

Posted By: Mislav Radica
Date: Wednesday, 8 July 2009, at 2:15 p.m.

In Response To: Evaluations (Mislav Radica)

Long GnuBg rollout agree with XG Roller but XBG 3ply evaluations is almost same with it's 3ply rollout (although not the longest one). Anyway, such swing with 0.150 equity from GnuBG 2ply evaluation and 2/2 ply rollout is realy something! Btw, what is XG roller? Truncated rollout?

The score (after 0 games) is: Woolsey 1, Readers 2 (match to 5 points)

Move number 3: Readers to play 65

Woolsey142


2O2X ' '2X3X2X ' ' '2X3O

2X2O2O2O '3O ' ' '1O '2X

Readers133

Position ID: xm6YATC2OcQBMA Match ID: cAm3ABAAEAAA

# Ply Move Equity
1 R 13/7 10/5 -0,6106
 
41,71 17,88 4,44- 58,29 21,16 7,33 -0,4365 -0,6106
0,07 0,10 0,12- 0,07 0,07 0,14 0,0021 0,0056
 
  Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.  
  15552 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 863771079 and quasi-random dice  
  Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]  
  keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0,16  
  Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.  
  Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]  
  2 R 13/8 10/4 -0,6191 ( -0,0085)
 
41,26 16,27 3,18- 58,74 19,86 2,58 -0,3132 -0,6191
0,05 0,08 0,10- 0,05 0,06 0,08 0,0021 0,0041
 
  Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.  
  15552 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 863771079 and quasi-random dice  
  Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]  
  keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0,16  
  Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.  
  Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]  

1. Rollout 13/7 10/5 eq:-0,491

Player : 43,41% (G:15,25% B:1,72%)

Opponent: 56,59% (G:20,67% B:3,33%)

Confidence: ± 0,034 (-0,525Duration: 48 minutes 33 seconds

2. Rollout 13/8 10/4 eq:-0,553 (-0,061)

Player : 43,03% (G:14,49% B:2,79%)

Opponent: 56,97% (G:19,08% B:2,27%)

Confidence: ± 0,027 (-0,580Duration: 41 minutes 29 seconds

1440 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Moves: 3 ply Red, cube decisions: 3 ply

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