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This 51 sucks.....OTB and rollout

Posted By: neilkaz
Date: Wednesday, 8 July 2009, at 3:59 p.m.

In Response To: This 51 sucks..... (neilkaz)

OTB busting the 6 pt looked too sucky to imagine. Also when I am the clearly stronger player I want to keep a strong frontal position so that I can turn games around. 4 ply says that 8/2 is a tad worse than my choice of 8/7 8/3.

As for breaking the board winning the rollout..well it does still keep a blotless 3 pt board.

The score (after 2 games) is: neilkaz 1, Z1_2Beat 1 (match to 13 points)

Move number 17: neilkaz to play 51


1X '2X2O3X2X '2X '2X ' '

 '1X2O2X3O3O2O '2O ' '1O

Pip counts: neilkaz 135, Z1_2Beat 125
Position ID: zN2MAAaZmxkAEw Match ID: AYGmARAACAAA

• neilkaz moves 8/7 8/3

Alert: bad move ( -0.020)

# Ply Move Equity
1 R 6/5 6/1 -0.2720
0.34630.06480.0024-0.65370.15210.0043 -0.4018 -0.2720
0.00160.00150.0003-0.00160.00230.0007 0.0041 0.0057
Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
1088 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 863914388 and quasi-random dice
Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.16
Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
2 R 8/7 8/3 -0.2922 ( -0.0202)
0.34370.07570.0021-0.65630.17870.0057 -0.4254 -0.2922
0.00170.00150.0003-0.00170.00240.0005 0.0044 0.0062
Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
1089 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 863914388 and quasi-random dice
Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.16
Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
3 4 8/2 -0.2985 ( -0.0265)
0.3473 0.0831 0.0016 - 0.6527 0.1884 0.0068
4 4 10/9 10/5 -0.3796 ( -0.1076)
0.3127 0.0672 0.0014 - 0.6873 0.1723 0.0054
5 0 6/1 3/2 -0.4984 ( -0.2264)
0.2847 0.0667 0.0011 - 0.7153 0.2207 0.0096

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