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Just playing #3

Posted By: adambulldog
Date: Friday, 10 July 2009, at 12:43 p.m.

In Response To: Just playing #3 (Keene)

The double looks easy. You are obviously not too good.

All of 11, 21, 41, 51, 22, 42, 52, 44, 54, and 55 point on blue's head. 43 makes a nice blocking point. 64 and 65 yield a tasty racing lead. 61 and 62 fill in the 4 point leaving a 17-1 flyshot. 31 and 32 are mediocre numbers for you, but your opponent is still not likely to get away on the next turn. 33, 53, 63 all leave a fly shot that is unlikely to be hit. 66 is your only really poor shake.

The pass looks easy too. The chances of hitting a shot or popping out unscathed and winning the race don't add up. If I know you are going to roll 66 I take, but since I don't know that, and I believe the odds are against it, I pass.

Did you perhaps miss a double on the prior turn? Or do you deliberately double late against this gonzo cubemonster?

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