BGonline.org Forums

Rollout and OTB

Posted By: neilkaz
Date: Friday, 10 July 2009, at 3:14 p.m.

In Response To: Stay back with one or two checkers (neilkaz)

OTB I wasn't sure, but since staying doesn't gain much on white's big blotting numbers and only gains a bit (assuming he hits me loose) on his blotting aces and 32, I decided to run one and not waste pips.

However, the rollout shows that I am wrong and a key point is that I may want to stay with both next time. ..ie he throw a 2 here and comes down to being stripped on the two top points..I want to keep anchor and hope for the double shot, noting that I don't care if BG'd at score.

In general, most people are too concerned with saving the G in this position-type.

The score (after 0 games) is: Opp 0, neilkaz 0 (match to 3 points)

Move number 6: neilkaz to play 66

Pip counts: Opp 28, neilkaz 124
Position ID: vh0AALDtDgDAAg Match ID: UQl7AAAAAAAA

#		Ply	Move	Equity
	1	R	bar/1	-0.8795
			0.1994 0.0000 0.0000 - 0.8006 0.3931 0.1572 -0.9900 -0.8795 0.0013 0.0000 0.0000 - 0.0013 0.0016 0.0077 0.0027 0.0037
			Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
			770 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 863815755 and quasi-random dice
			Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
			keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.16
			Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
			Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	2	R	bar/13 24/12	-0.8980 ( -0.0185)
			0.1792 0.0000 0.0000 - 0.8208 0.3644 0.0702 -0.9989 -0.8980 0.0014 0.0000 0.0000 - 0.0014 0.0021 0.0051 0.0031 0.0045
			Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
			771 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 863815755 and quasi-random dice
			Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
			keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.16
			Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
			Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	3	R	bar/19 24/6	-0.8982 ( -0.0188)
			0.1770 0.0000 0.0000 - 0.8230 0.3624 0.0677 -1.0017 -0.8982 0.0016 0.0000 0.0000 - 0.0016 0.0021 0.0050 0.0034 0.0048
			Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
			771 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 863815755 and quasi-random dice
			Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
			keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.16
			Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
			Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	4	R	bar/7 24/18	-0.9072 ( -0.0277)
			0.1804 0.0000 0.0000 - 0.8196 0.3770 0.0704 -1.0079 -0.9072 0.0014 0.0000 0.0000 - 0.0014 0.0020 0.0048 0.0031 0.0043
			Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
			771 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 863815755 and quasi-random dice
			Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
			keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.16
			Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
			Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	5	0	bar/19 24/12 24/18	-1.5227 ( -0.6432)
			0.0001 0.0000 0.0000 - 0.9999 0.5260 0.0000

Messages In This Thread

• Stay back with one or two checkers
  neilkaz -- Friday, 10 July 2009, at 12:50 a.m.
  • Stay back with one or two checkers
    Matt Cohn-Geier -- Friday, 10 July 2009, at 12:56 a.m.
  • Stay back with one or two checkers
    Rich Munitz -- Friday, 10 July 2009, at 1:23 a.m.
  • Stay back with one or two checkers
    garyo -- Friday, 10 July 2009, at 1:29 a.m.
  • Stay back with one or two checkers
    Bill Riles -- Friday, 10 July 2009, at 2:34 a.m.
  • Stay back with one or two checkers
    Seth -- Friday, 10 July 2009, at 2:56 p.m.
  • Rollout and OTB
    neilkaz -- Friday, 10 July 2009, at 3:14 p.m.
  • $-game RO in progress *NM*
    Chuck Bower -- Friday, 10 July 2009, at 5:15 p.m.
    • $-game RO sez...
      Chuck Bower -- Friday, 10 July 2009, at 7:49 p.m.