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BGonline.org Forums
Cube Rollout
Posted By: Stick In Response To: OLM Sunday April 22nd (Stick)
Date: Monday, 23 April 2007, at 5:42 a.m.
This is more along the lines of what I thought, a lot further from a double than the SW rollout (if I remember correctly). Again, the way I look at this from White's (my) point of view is "boy, I'd sure be happy if they doubled me now!" Can't be anywhere near a cube then =)
The score (after 0 games) is: Stick 5, Readers 0 (match to 13 points)
Move number 3: Readers to play 23
Stick 158
Readers 137 Position ID: zB3wACWGZ8ZhAA Match ID: cAmtAVAAAAAA
• Readers doubles
Alert: wrong double ( -0.0659)! [doubtful]
Cube decision Rollout cubeless equity +0.3023 (Money: +0.2987) Cubeful equities: 1. No double +0.4549 2. Double, pass +1.0000 +0.5451 3. Double, take +0.3890 -0.0659 Proper cube action: No double, take (10.8%) Rollout details
Win W g W bg Lose L g L bg Cubeless Cubeful Centered 1-cube 0.6013 0.2003 0.0121 - 0.3987 0.1121 0.0043 +0.3023 +0.4549 Standard error 0.0032 0.0037 0.0014 - 0.0032 0.0026 0.0008 0.0089 0.0224 Player Stick owns 2-cube 0.6081 0.2024 0.0106 - 0.3919 0.1091 0.0062 +0.5726 +0.3890 Standard error 0.0037 0.0041 0.0018 - 0.0037 0.0056 0.0015 0.0182 0.0266 Full cubeful rollout with var.redn. 325 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 1057074937 and quasi-random dice Play: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 12 more moves within equity 0.16 Skip pruning for 1-ply moves. Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
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