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BGonline.org Forums
So, you got into this position... now... #1 - ROLLOUT
Posted By: Keene In Response To: So, you got into this position... now... #1 (Keene)
Date: Tuesday, 14 July 2009, at 2:05 a.m.
I suppose the trick is recognizing the gammon-go score and what your market losers are - likely any point and fan - especially at this big GG score.
Obviously a clear take - I mean, seriously, how could you drop this? Mary, of course, did not. I always find matches with her to be both fun and challenging.
The score (after 3 games) is: maryfranks 4, kilted 3 (match to 7 points)
Move number 21: kilted on roll, cube decision?
maryfranks 82
kilted 119 Position ID: vjcDgARzZjMAMA Match ID: cAngAEAAGAAA
• kilted doubles
Cube decision Rollout cubeless equity +0.089 (Money: +0.089) Cubeful equities: 1. Double, take +0.258 2. Double, pass +1.000 +0.742 3. No double +0.255 -0.003 Proper cube action: Double, take Rollout details
Win W g W bg Lose L g L bg Cubeless Cubeful Centered 1-cube 0.545 0.163 0.007 - 0.455 0.153 0.019 +0.089 +0.255 Standard error 0.001 0.001 0.001 - 0.001 0.002 0.002 0.005 0.010 Player maryfranks owns 2-cube 0.556 0.162 0.013 - 0.444 0.176 0.072 +0.467 +0.258 Standard error 0.002 0.002 0.002 - 0.002 0.004 0.005 0.015 0.017 Full cubeful rollout with var.redn. 1296 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 863165835 and quasi-random dice Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.16 Skip pruning for 1-ply moves. Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
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