[ View Thread ] [ Post Response ] [ Return to Index ] [ Read Prev Msg ] [ Read Next Msg ]

BGonline.org Forums

Monte Carlo - my 1st round (2)

Posted By: John O'Hagan
Date: Tuesday, 14 July 2009, at 7:07 p.m.

In Response To: Monte Carlo - my 1st round (2) (misja)

Does Blue have a take? His 8-cube takepoint ATS is ~22%. The 8-cube gammon values are approx 15% for the leader and 33% for the trailer. The leader's 16-cube takepoint is around 26%. I don't think it's a very gammonish posltion, maybe 18% for White and 10% for Blue which makes the gammon-adjusted takepoint around 21%. Cube ownership probably lowers this by around 3.5% so Blue needs only around 17.5% cubeless chances to take. Considering that the chance of 4 non-6s in a row by White is around 25%, I think it's a monster take. I think White's supposed to take a roll. NR/T.

Messages In This Thread

 

Post Response
Your Name:
Your E-Mail Address:
Subject:
Message:

If necessary, enter your password below:

Password:
 

 

[ View Thread ] [ Post Response ] [ Return to Index ] [ Read Prev Msg ] [ Read Next Msg ]

BGonline.org Forums is maintained by Stick with WebBBS 5.12.