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Cube action? - ROLLOUT

Posted By: Keene
Date: Friday, 17 July 2009, at 9:36 p.m.

In Response To: Cube action? (Keene)

Reasonable error to ship here. As many said, better to wait.

The score (after 0 games) is: Beja 0, kilted 0 (match to 5 points)

Move number 7: kilted on roll, cube decision?

Beja	174
kilted	149
Position ID: 2A74AFiwZ+EFIA Match ID: cAmgAAAAAAAA

• kilted doubles

Alert: wrong double ( -0.037)! [doubtful]

Cube decision
Rollout cubeless equity		+0.436	(Money: +0.411)
Cubeful equities:
1.	No double	+0.633
2.	Double, pass	+1.000	+0.367
3.	Double, take	+0.596	-0.037
Proper cube action:		No double, take (9.2%)
Rollout details
Win W g W bg Lose L g L bg Cubeless Cubeful Centered 1-cube 0.638 0.213 0.017 - 0.362 0.091 0.004 +0.436 +0.633 Standard error 0.002 0.003 0.001 - 0.002 0.002 0.001 0.006 0.016 Player Beja owns 2-cube 0.643 0.212 0.016 - 0.357 0.089 0.010 +0.902 +0.596 Standard error 0.002 0.003 0.001 - 0.002 0.002 0.002 0.014 0.018
Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
1296 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 863980375 and quasi-random dice
Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.16
Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

Messages In This Thread

• Cube action?
  Keene -- Thursday, 16 July 2009, at 6:27 p.m.
  • Cube action?
    Chuck Bower -- Thursday, 16 July 2009, at 8:03 p.m.
  • Cube action?
    adambulldog -- Thursday, 16 July 2009, at 9:54 p.m.
    • Cube action?
      Keene -- Thursday, 16 July 2009, at 10:05 p.m.
  • Cube action?
    Gustavo Goldfarb -- Thursday, 16 July 2009, at 10:39 p.m.
  • Cube action?
    Matt Cohn-Geier -- Friday, 17 July 2009, at 1:04 a.m.
  • Cube action?
    Rich Munitz -- Friday, 17 July 2009, at 2:50 a.m.
  • Cube action? - ROLLOUT
    Keene -- Friday, 17 July 2009, at 9:36 p.m.