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OTB and rollout etc

Posted By: neilkaz
Date: Saturday, 18 July 2009, at 9:58 a.m.

In Response To: MC Conso DMP 32 (neilkaz)

OTB sitting on the 22 pt seemed like just under 18% wins for me so I ended up thinking that splitting to the 20 and forcing the issue was just a tad better. Stick also agreed with me, but the rollout proves us far wrong as I just have to get too lucky to win from there. My opp drilled me with 43 and I rolled an ace and died on the 1 pt.

The score (after 0 games) is: opp 6, neilkaz 5 (match to 9 points)

Move number 6: neilkaz to play 23

Pip counts: opp 116, neilkaz 76
Position ID: Zm4bQALf2wAAUA Match ID: QgktAWAAKAAA

#		Ply	Move	Equity
	1	R	bar/22 24/22	-0.6012
			0.1994 0.0477 0.0013 - 0.8006 0.1702 0.0102 -0.6012 -0.6012 0.0011 0.0036 0.0009 - 0.0011 0.0071 0.0019 0.0023 0.0023
			Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
			1296 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 860551812 and quasi-random dice
			Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
			keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.16
			Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
			Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	2	R	bar/20	-0.6693 ( -0.0681)
			0.1653 0.0603 0.0012 - 0.8347 0.2198 0.0149 -0.6693 -0.6693 0.0011 0.0040 0.0006 - 0.0011 0.0077 0.0026 0.0022 0.0022
			Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
			1296 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 860551812 and quasi-random dice
			Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
			keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.16
			Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
			Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	3	2	bar/22 4/2	-0.7030 ( -0.1019)
			0.1485 0.0334 0.0001 - 0.8515 0.2953 0.0004
	4	2	bar/22 3/1	-0.7141 ( -0.1129)
			0.1429 0.0303 0.0001 - 0.8571 0.3206 0.0003

Messages In This Thread

• MC Conso DMP 32
  neilkaz -- Friday, 17 July 2009, at 4:16 p.m.
  • MC Conso DMP 32
    Keene -- Friday, 17 July 2009, at 4:25 p.m.
  • MC Conso DMP 32
    Chuck Bower -- Friday, 17 July 2009, at 4:39 p.m.
  • MC Conso DMP 32
    Neil Robins -- Friday, 17 July 2009, at 4:48 p.m.
  • MC Conso DMP 32
    Christian Munk-Christensen -- Friday, 17 July 2009, at 4:52 p.m.
  • MC Conso DMP 32
    adambulldog -- Friday, 17 July 2009, at 5:10 p.m.
  • OTB and rollout etc
    neilkaz -- Saturday, 18 July 2009, at 9:58 a.m.