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-1,-7, Priming or blitzing? ROLLOUT

Posted By: Keene
Date: Saturday, 18 July 2009, at 6:13 p.m.

In Response To: -1,-7, Priming or blitzing? (Keene)

Still all very close, but 16/9 is looking like the right play here.

The score (after 2 games) is: lalo 0, kilted 6 (match to 7 points, Crawford game)

Move number 8: kilted to play 52

lalo	198
kilted	145
Position ID: 4Dl4AGyM1+ARIA Match ID: 8InqAAAAMAAA

• kilted moves 16/9

#		Ply	Move	Equity
•	1	R	16/9	+0.287
			0.647 0.459 0.257 - 0.353 0.046 0.002 +0.287 +0.287 0.002 0.004 0.005 - 0.002 0.001 0.000 0.005 0.005
			Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
			5281 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 863980375 and quasi-random dice
			Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
			keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.16
			Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
			Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	2	R	16/11 13/11	+0.276 ( -0.010)
			0.642 0.452 0.253 - 0.358 0.045 0.002 +0.276 +0.276 0.002 0.004 0.005 - 0.002 0.001 0.000 0.005 0.005
			Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
			5272 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 863980375 and quasi-random dice
			Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
			keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.16
			Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
			Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	3	R	24/22 16/11	+0.271 ( -0.016)
			0.639 0.442 0.240 - 0.361 0.048 0.002 +0.271 +0.271 0.003 0.004 0.005 - 0.003 0.001 0.000 0.005 0.005
			Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
			4508 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 863980375 and quasi-random dice
			Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
			keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.16
			Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
			Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	4	R	13/11 13/8	+0.265 ( -0.021)
			0.636 0.450 0.248 - 0.364 0.048 0.002 +0.265 +0.265 0.004 0.006 0.007 - 0.004 0.002 0.001 0.008 0.008
			Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
			2046 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 863980375 and quasi-random dice
			Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
			keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.16
			Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
			Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	5	R	16/11 6/4	+0.201 ( -0.086)
			0.604 0.406 0.235 - 0.396 0.055 0.001 +0.201 +0.201 0.018 0.029 0.039 - 0.018 0.007 0.002 0.035 0.035
			Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
			89 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 863980375 and quasi-random dice
			Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
			keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.16
			Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
			Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

Messages In This Thread

• -1,-7, Priming or blitzing?
  Keene -- Friday, 17 July 2009, at 12:11 a.m.
  • -1,-7, Priming or blitzing?
    adambulldog -- Friday, 17 July 2009, at 12:19 a.m.
  • -1,-7, Priming or blitzing?
    Petter Bengtsson -- Friday, 17 July 2009, at 12:31 a.m.
  • -1,-7, Priming or blitzing?
    David Rockwell -- Friday, 17 July 2009, at 12:48 a.m.
    • -1,-7, Priming or blitzing?
      Sam Pottle -- Friday, 17 July 2009, at 1:15 a.m.
  • -1,-7, Priming or blitzing?
    Gustavo Goldfarb -- Friday, 17 July 2009, at 12:51 a.m.
  • -1,-7, Priming or blitzing?
    Matt Cohn-Geier -- Friday, 17 July 2009, at 1:16 a.m.
    • -1,-7, Priming or blitzing?
      Christian Munk-Christensen -- Friday, 17 July 2009, at 2:37 p.m.
  • -1,-7, Priming or blitzing?
    John O'Hagan -- Friday, 17 July 2009, at 1:56 a.m.
  • -1,-7, Priming or blitzing?
    Rich Munitz -- Friday, 17 July 2009, at 2:34 a.m.
  • -1,-7, Priming or blitzing?
    Joe Russell -- Friday, 17 July 2009, at 5:16 a.m.
  • -1,-7, Priming or blitzing?
    Chuck Bower -- Friday, 17 July 2009, at 3:58 p.m.
  • -1,-7, Priming or blitzing?
    Keene -- Friday, 17 July 2009, at 4:16 p.m.
  • -1,-7, Priming or blitzing?
    neilkaz -- Friday, 17 July 2009, at 4:23 p.m.
  • -1,-7, Priming or blitzing?
    Keene -- Saturday, 18 July 2009, at 7:00 a.m.
  • -1,-7, Priming or blitzing? ROLLOUT
    Keene -- Saturday, 18 July 2009, at 6:13 p.m.