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DMP UGLY position ugly 32

Posted By: Robert-Jan Veldhuizen (Zorba)
Date: Sunday, 19 July 2009, at 3:19 a.m.

In Response To: DMP UGLY position ugly 32 (neilkaz)

Fun position. After the safe 4/1 4/2, bearing the spares in and especially clearing the 8pt will prove extremely difficult and by that time a hit will probably be lethal. Can't afford this I think.

8/5 8/6 leaves many shots, some of them double-hitters even. And leaving two blots looks very dangerous here, as you may not get the chance to clean up one blot if the other gets hit (or, if falafel dances...). Also, slotting the sixpoint is not that great here, it will become another point to clear soon and without high spares, a tough one to clear. Lots of risk for not much upside IMO.

8/5 4/2 is pretty good, just 11 shots which are far from lethal, and falafel will have to give up the anchor to hit, costing some long-term chances. Fours and ones cover, twos and threes can lift, that's pretty good. Spares on the twopoint could come in handy later, so the 4/2 is not so bad. This play is not so risky and has clear upsides compared to the other two, so that's what I'd play.

Messages In This Thread

• DMP UGLY position ugly 32
  neilkaz -- Saturday, 18 July 2009, at 7:24 p.m.
  • DMP UGLY position ugly 32
    Gustavo Goldfarb -- Saturday, 18 July 2009, at 7:35 p.m.
    • DMP UGLY position ugly 32
      neilkaz -- Saturday, 18 July 2009, at 10:58 p.m.
      • DMP UGLY position ugly 32
        Gustavo Goldfarb -- Sunday, 19 July 2009, at 2:51 a.m.
  • DMP UGLY position ugly 32
    Christian Munk-Christensen -- Saturday, 18 July 2009, at 7:54 p.m.
  • DMP UGLY position ugly 32
    John O'Hagan -- Saturday, 18 July 2009, at 8:59 p.m.
    • DMP UGLY position ugly 32
      Mark Donaldson -- Saturday, 18 July 2009, at 10:21 p.m.
  • DMP UGLY position ugly 32
    Bill Riles -- Saturday, 18 July 2009, at 9:29 p.m.
  • DMP UGLY position ugly 32
    mfic -- Saturday, 18 July 2009, at 11:52 p.m.
    • DMP UGLY position ugly 32
      mfic -- Sunday, 19 July 2009, at 5:16 a.m.
  • DMP UGLY position ugly 32
    Marv Porten -- Saturday, 18 July 2009, at 11:56 p.m.
  • DMP UGLY position ugly 32
    Rich Munitz -- Sunday, 19 July 2009, at 1:43 a.m.
  • DMP UGLY position ugly 32
    Robert-Jan Veldhuizen (Zorba) -- Sunday, 19 July 2009, at 3:19 a.m.
  • goldilocks and the 3 plays
    garyo -- Sunday, 19 July 2009, at 4:34 a.m.
  • DMP UGLY position ugly 32
    tem_sat -- Sunday, 19 July 2009, at 5:15 a.m.
  • Rollout means that I can afford more 19 euro burgers (although I am not eating them due to this play)
    neilkaz -- Sunday, 19 July 2009, at 10:27 a.m.