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Rollout means that I can afford more 19 euro burgers (although I am not eating them due to this play)

Posted By: neilkaz
Date: Sunday, 19 July 2009, at 10:27 a.m.

In Response To: DMP UGLY position ugly 32 (neilkaz)

OTB my play seemed clear. Safe is asking for miracles over the next couple of rolls vs what will usually be a 5 prime. Two blots attempts to freeze Falafel with a dance (but when he enters and hits he covers inside his hb) and then I am not likely to recover.

1 blot also adds the key spare on the 5 pt and may allow me to remake the 4 pt, but also means that if he hits now, he breaks his anchor and then covers a blot inside so I have some chances to counterpunch from the roof.

Lots of good players didn't like my play and many wanted to hit while a few wanted to play safe. However, Michy, (not Mochy who missed it, but we can forgive him for being tired after his match) and also Gary Bauer (watching and waiting like a vulture to knock me out of the 500 JP) also got it right.

The score (after 0 games) is: falafel 0, neilkaz 0 (match to 1 point, post-Crawford play)

Move number 5: neilkaz to play 23

Pip counts: falafel 146, neilkaz 65
Position ID: qLclQAxfNj4AAA Match ID: cAktAAAAAAAA

#		Ply	Move	Equity
	1	R	8/5 4/2	+0.1141
			0.5571 0.4253 0.0182 - 0.4429 0.0711 0.0059 +0.1141 +0.1141 0.0015 0.0090 0.0028 - 0.0015 0.0045 0.0016 0.0029 0.0029
			Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
			1296 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 860374713 and quasi-random dice
			Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
			keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.16
			Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
			Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	2	R	4/2 4/1	+0.0383 ( -0.0758)
			0.5192 0.3755 0.0032 - 0.4808 0.0786 0.0055 +0.0383 +0.0383 0.0015 0.0089 0.0007 - 0.0015 0.0048 0.0013 0.0031 0.0031
			Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
			1296 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 860374713 and quasi-random dice
			Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
			keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.16
			Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
			Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	3	R	8/6* 8/5	+0.0035 ( -0.1106)
			0.5017 0.4209 0.0226 - 0.4983 0.1082 0.0123 +0.0035 +0.0035 0.0018 0.0076 0.0028 - 0.0018 0.0051 0.0025 0.0036 0.0036
			Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
			1296 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 860374713 and quasi-random dice
			Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
			keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.16
			Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
			Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	4	2	8/6* 5/2	-0.0914 ( -0.2055)
			0.4543 0.2708 0.0047 - 0.5457 0.1365 0.0026
	5	2	5/2 4/2	-0.2303 ( -0.3444)
			0.3849 0.1394 0.0021 - 0.6151 0.1745 0.0040

Messages In This Thread

• DMP UGLY position ugly 32
  neilkaz -- Saturday, 18 July 2009, at 7:24 p.m.
  • DMP UGLY position ugly 32
    Gustavo Goldfarb -- Saturday, 18 July 2009, at 7:35 p.m.
    • DMP UGLY position ugly 32
      neilkaz -- Saturday, 18 July 2009, at 10:58 p.m.
      • DMP UGLY position ugly 32
        Gustavo Goldfarb -- Sunday, 19 July 2009, at 2:51 a.m.
  • DMP UGLY position ugly 32
    Christian Munk-Christensen -- Saturday, 18 July 2009, at 7:54 p.m.
  • DMP UGLY position ugly 32
    John O'Hagan -- Saturday, 18 July 2009, at 8:59 p.m.
    • DMP UGLY position ugly 32
      Mark Donaldson -- Saturday, 18 July 2009, at 10:21 p.m.
  • DMP UGLY position ugly 32
    Bill Riles -- Saturday, 18 July 2009, at 9:29 p.m.
  • DMP UGLY position ugly 32
    mfic -- Saturday, 18 July 2009, at 11:52 p.m.
    • DMP UGLY position ugly 32
      mfic -- Sunday, 19 July 2009, at 5:16 a.m.
  • DMP UGLY position ugly 32
    Marv Porten -- Saturday, 18 July 2009, at 11:56 p.m.
  • DMP UGLY position ugly 32
    Rich Munitz -- Sunday, 19 July 2009, at 1:43 a.m.
  • DMP UGLY position ugly 32
    Robert-Jan Veldhuizen (Zorba) -- Sunday, 19 July 2009, at 3:19 a.m.
  • goldilocks and the 3 plays
    garyo -- Sunday, 19 July 2009, at 4:34 a.m.
  • DMP UGLY position ugly 32
    tem_sat -- Sunday, 19 July 2009, at 5:15 a.m.
  • Rollout means that I can afford more 19 euro burgers (although I am not eating them due to this play)
    neilkaz -- Sunday, 19 July 2009, at 10:27 a.m.