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62S, 43U, 54

Posted By: Perry Gartner
Date: Tuesday, 21 July 2009, at 5:04 p.m.

In Response To: 62S, 43U, 54 (Matt Cohn-Geier)

First, you are asking about the possibilty of making all of these incorrect responses to the 43U play. I dont think someone would have to make all of these incorrect responses to justify it but you raise a legitimate question. What percentage of these do you think need be made incorrectly to justify 43U? I think we can come to a conclusion which will satisfy you if you then also estimate the odds of the players in the lower half or lower quarter of the championship flight making however many of these responses you think they would make.

Secondly, lets compare these estimates to the estimates of making incorrect plays (considering the magnitude of the errors as well), after 62S-43Z?

And finally what are your estimates for potential errors further down in the game either way?

I admittedly did not go into the depth this question deserves, as you suggest we should and look forward to your estimates if you care to make them.

Perry

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