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Rollout

Posted By: Petter Bengtsson
Date: Friday, 24 July 2009, at 4:17 a.m.

In Response To: Petter vs Keene -- cube #3 (Petter Bengtsson)

Keene thought this might be too good. He was right, it might!

Rollout is inconclusive after 1296 trials.

The score is: kilted 4, petter 0 (match to 7 points)

kilted on roll, cube decision?

kilted	104
petter	162
Position ID: jLdBwFBsbjsQAA Match ID: MAHgAEAAAAAA

• kilted doubles

Cube decision
Rollout cubeless equity		+0,9589	(Money: +1,0116)
Cubeful equities:
1.	Double, pass	+1,0000
2.	Double, take	+1,2673	+0,2673
3.	No double	+0,9952	-0,0048
Proper cube action:		Double, pass
Rollout details
Win W g W bg Lose L g L bg Cubeless Cubeful Centered 1-cube 0,7808 0,4551 0,0257 - 0,2192 0,0287 0,0020 +0,9589 +0,9952 Standard error 0,0014 0,0031 0,0024 - 0,0014 0,0009 0,0009 0,0047 0,0080 Player petter owns 2-cube 0,7852 0,4862 0,0812 - 0,2148 0,0275 0,0027 +1,5579 +1,2673 Standard error 0,0017 0,0051 0,0055 - 0,0017 0,0010 0,0009 0,0119 0,0149
Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
1296 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 860768329 and quasi-random dice
Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0,16
Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

Messages In This Thread

• Petter vs Keene -- cube #3
  Petter Bengtsson -- Tuesday, 21 July 2009, at 9:21 p.m.
  • Petter vs Keene -- cube #3
    Stick -- Wednesday, 22 July 2009, at 10:57 a.m.
    • Petter vs Keene -- cube #3
      Keene -- Friday, 24 July 2009, at 5:48 a.m.
      • Petter vs Keene -- cube #3
        Neil Robins -- Friday, 24 July 2009, at 6:57 a.m.
        • Petter vs Keene -- cube #3
          Keene -- Friday, 24 July 2009, at 4:00 p.m.
  • Rollout
    Petter Bengtsson -- Friday, 24 July 2009, at 4:17 a.m.