The big difference with my rollout as compared to Neil's & Chuck's is that 16/11 6/2's equity is a lotttttttt lower. Their rollouts combined have it hovering @, give or take +0.1545. (the equity for 16/11 8/4 is also a little higher on mine). After 648 games 8/4 was ahead by .04 in my rollout! I only extended it after seeing the other two rollouts. I will extend this more before the match raps up and see what comes of it.
The score (after 4 games) is: Stick 5, Readers 1 (match to 13 points)
Move number 12: Readers on roll, cube decision?
| Stick | 136 |
|---|---|
| |
| Readers | 143 |
Position ID: 3Jzg4ADMzsgIAw Match ID: cAmgAVAACAAA | |
• Readers moves 16/11 6/2
| # | Ply | Move | Equity | |||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | R | 16/11 8/4 | +0.1614 | |||||||||||||||||||
| ||||||||||||||||||||||
| Full cubeful rollout with var.redn. | ||||||||||||||||||||||
| 1296 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 1058712545 and quasi-random dice | ||||||||||||||||||||||
| Play: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] | ||||||||||||||||||||||
| keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 12 more moves within equity 0.16 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
| Skip pruning for 1-ply moves. | ||||||||||||||||||||||
| Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] | ||||||||||||||||||||||
| • | 2 | R | 16/11 6/2 | +0.1375 ( -0.0239) | ||||||||||||||||||
| ||||||||||||||||||||||
| Full cubeful rollout with var.redn. | ||||||||||||||||||||||
| 1296 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 1058712545 and quasi-random dice | ||||||||||||||||||||||
| Play: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] | ||||||||||||||||||||||
| keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 12 more moves within equity 0.16 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
| Skip pruning for 1-ply moves. | ||||||||||||||||||||||
| Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] | ||||||||||||||||||||||