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Posted By: David Rockwell
Date: Sunday, 26 July 2009, at 4:57 a.m.

In Response To: Minnesota Masters - Cube action (David Rockwell)

Based on early rollout results, I expected this to be an example of a fine take by John. But, it reversed and is apparently a narrow drop. The take worked for him in practice. He was too good three rolls later.

And, I should mention that Phil Simborg got this one right.

The score (after 0 games) is: O'Hagan 6, Rockwell 7 (match to 11 points)

Move number 3: Rockwell on roll, cube decision?

O'Hagan147


1X '2O3X2X3X '2X ' ' ' '

2O2O1O '2X2O1O3O '2O ' '

Rockwell116

Position ID: cTsDwGBbrDMADA Match ID: cAlgAWAAOAAA

• Rockwell doubles

Cube decision
Rollout cubeless equity +0.593(Money: +0.527)
Cubeful equities:
1.Double, pass +1.000
2.Double, take +1.021 +0.021
3.No double +0.749 -0.251
Proper cube action:Double, pass
Rollout details
WinW gW bg LoseL gL bgCubelessCubeful
Centered 1-cube0.6610.2940.010-0.3390.0950.004 +0.593 +0.749
Standard error0.0010.0010.001-0.0010.0010.000 0.002 0.004
Player O'Hagan owns 2-cube0.6670.2940.017-0.3330.0930.010 +1.475 +1.021
Standard error0.0010.0020.001-0.0010.0010.001 0.005 0.007
Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
5184 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 860729499 and quasi-random dice
Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.16
Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

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