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Posted By: David Rockwell In Response To: Minnesota Masters - Cube action (David Rockwell)
Date: Sunday, 26 July 2009, at 4:57 a.m.
Based on early rollout results, I expected this to be an example of a fine take by John. But, it reversed and is apparently a narrow drop. The take worked for him in practice. He was too good three rolls later.
And, I should mention that Phil Simborg got this one right.
The score (after 0 games) is: O'Hagan 6, Rockwell 7 (match to 11 points)
Move number 3: Rockwell on roll, cube decision?
O'Hagan 147
Rockwell 116 Position ID: cTsDwGBbrDMADA Match ID: cAlgAWAAOAAA
• Rockwell doubles
Cube decision Rollout cubeless equity +0.593 (Money: +0.527) Cubeful equities: 1. Double, pass +1.000 2. Double, take +1.021 +0.021 3. No double +0.749 -0.251 Proper cube action: Double, pass Rollout details
Win W g W bg Lose L g L bg Cubeless Cubeful Centered 1-cube 0.661 0.294 0.010 - 0.339 0.095 0.004 +0.593 +0.749 Standard error 0.001 0.001 0.001 - 0.001 0.001 0.000 0.002 0.004 Player O'Hagan owns 2-cube 0.667 0.294 0.017 - 0.333 0.093 0.010 +1.475 +1.021 Standard error 0.001 0.002 0.001 - 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.005 0.007 Full cubeful rollout with var.redn. 5184 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 860729499 and quasi-random dice Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.16 Skip pruning for 1-ply moves. Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
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