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Bad beat story

Posted By: Matt Cohn-Geier
Date: Sunday, 26 July 2009, at 5:17 a.m.

In Response To: RO (David Rockwell)

I maybe should have dropped this cube...I didn't because I evaluated my chances much better than this (in the ~35% range). Had I thought I was only 28% I would have passed.

Here was the position before I got hit:

The score (after 0 games) is: White 5, Blue 7 (match to 11 points)

Move number 4: Blue on roll, cube decision?

White	138
Blue	26
Position ID: 2G4HCDC2BwAAAA Match ID: QQlgAVAAOAAA

I lost a similar position to Gary in the consolation:

The score (after 0 games) is: White 3, Blue 5 (match to 9 points)

Move number 4: Blue on roll, cube decision?

White	121
Blue	19
Position ID: m+0ACjC+AwAAAA Match ID: QQkgATAAKAAA

The position where he redoubled me, this time I really couldn't drop:

The score (after 0 games) is: White 3, Blue 5 (match to 9 points)

Move number 4: White on roll, cube decision?

White	134
Blue	34
Position ID: PQAAoM12ACAxAA Match ID: AQEgATAAKAAA

• White doubles

Alert: wrong double ( -0.2212)!

Cube decision
2-ply cubeless equity		-0.2214	(Money: -0.1941)
	0.4770 0.0000 0.0000 - 0.5230 0.1338 0.0144
Cubeful equities:
1.	No double	+0.0321
2.	Double, pass	+1.0000	+0.9679
3.	Double, take	-0.1890	-0.2212
Proper cube action:		No redouble, take (18.6%)

So twice this tournament I've been bearing off against an ace point game at 4-away 6-away and both times I've lost on a 4 cube. Harvey rolled a 21 to pick up all three checkers. Gary did not pick up the second checker.

Messages In This Thread

• Minnesota Masters #2
  David Rockwell -- Saturday, 25 July 2009, at 5:08 p.m.
  • Minnesota Masters #2
    adambulldog -- Saturday, 25 July 2009, at 5:38 p.m.
  • RO
    David Rockwell -- Sunday, 26 July 2009, at 5:01 a.m.
    • Bad beat story
      Matt Cohn-Geier -- Sunday, 26 July 2009, at 5:17 a.m.