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Wow, and Gosh! Pt 1 - ROLLOUT

Posted By: Keene
Date: Tuesday, 28 July 2009, at 3:44 a.m.

In Response To: Wow, and Gosh! Pt 1 (Keene)

Yeah yeah, I know its a week late.

Turns out the 5pt is as horrific as it looks.

The score (after 2 games) is: petter 0, kilted 5 (match to 7 points)

Move number 9: kilted to play 31

petter	145
kilted	142
Position ID: sOfIAyCYt4UBIg Match ID: cInlAAAAKAAA

• kilted moves 8/5 6/5

Cube decision
2-ply cubeless equity		+0.312	(Money: +0.197)
	0.560 0.183 0.006 - 0.440 0.108 0.003
Cubeful equities:
1.	No double	+0.053
2.	Double, pass	+1.000	+0.947
3.	Double, take	-1.653	-1.706
Proper cube action:		No double, take (64.3%)

Alert: very bad move ( -0.186)

#		Ply	Move	Equity
	1	R	24/21 9/8	+0.092
			0.554 0.135 0.014 - 0.446 0.058 0.002 +0.209 +0.092 0.001 0.003 0.002 - 0.001 0.001 0.000 0.005 0.008
			Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
			1296 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 860596520 and quasi-random dice
			Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
			keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.16
			Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
			Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	2	R	24/21 6/5	-0.018 ( -0.110)
			0.527 0.151 0.011 - 0.473 0.079 0.003 +0.144 -0.018 0.002 0.004 0.002 - 0.002 0.001 0.000 0.006 0.009
			Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
			1296 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 860596520 and quasi-random dice
			Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
			keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.16
			Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
			Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	3	R	24/21 8/7	-0.076 ( -0.168)
			0.508 0.132 0.010 - 0.492 0.067 0.002 +0.099 -0.076 0.002 0.004 0.002 - 0.002 0.001 0.000 0.005 0.008
			Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
			1296 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 860596520 and quasi-random dice
			Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
			keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.16
			Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
			Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
•	4	R	8/5 6/5	-0.095 ( -0.186)
			0.535 0.205 0.035 - 0.465 0.151 0.009 +0.129 -0.095 0.002 0.004 0.003 - 0.002 0.001 0.001 0.007 0.011
			Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
			1296 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 860596520 and quasi-random dice
			Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
			keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.16
			Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
			Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	5	0	24/21 7/6	-0.277 ( -0.369)
			0.452 0.110 0.003 - 0.548 0.095 0.003

Messages In This Thread

• Wow, and Gosh! Pt 1
  Keene -- Tuesday, 21 July 2009, at 2:01 a.m.
  • Wow, and Gosh! Pt 1
    Petter Bengtsson -- Tuesday, 21 July 2009, at 2:07 a.m.
    • Wow, and Gosh! Pt 1
      Keene -- Tuesday, 21 July 2009, at 2:10 a.m.
  • Wow, and Gosh! Pt 1
    lenny -- Tuesday, 21 July 2009, at 3:22 a.m.
    • Wow, and Gosh! Pt 1
      playBunny -- Tuesday, 21 July 2009, at 3:24 a.m.
  • Wow, and Gosh! Pt 1
    misja -- Tuesday, 21 July 2009, at 1:25 p.m.
  • Wow, and Gosh! Pt 1
    Mislav Radica -- Tuesday, 21 July 2009, at 1:48 p.m.
  • Wow, and Gosh! Pt 1 - ROLLOUT
    Keene -- Tuesday, 28 July 2009, at 3:44 a.m.