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LVBC 7/28/09 #1

Posted By: John O'Hagan
Date: Wednesday, 29 July 2009, at 5:24 p.m.

In Response To: LVBC 7/28/09 #1 (Jason Lee)

The basic takepoint for the trailer ATS is right around the normal 25% but gammons are worth a lot less than normal for the leader (~18% vs. the normal 50%) and somewhat less for the trailer (~40%). Blue's 8-cube takepoint is around 25-26%. So does White have a take? Those buried checkers are a real liability so if it's a take, it's probably a real close one. Blue can lose his market with a PoH/62 or 61 sequence or if he just pulls two men off the 20 and White has to dismantle his 6-point and get down to a 3-point board with something like 43,D4, or D3. Looks like a clear redouble for Blue and let White decide whether to take it or not. Looks like a tough decision for White but I think he technically has a close take. R/T is my guess.

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