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1296 rollouts give a clear result

Posted By: neilkaz
Date: Friday, 7 August 2009, at 3:47 p.m.

In Response To: 64P 53P 33? (neilkaz)

Perry made the 21 pt and then made the 10 pt rather than the 5 pt, commenting that he felt that was stronger. It looks good, but the 5 pt (my play.. I'd remembered looking at this b4) is stronger noting that the 8 pt and 2 pt don't work so well together and that maybe he won't roll a useful point making roll after making the 10 pt. The 5 pt is best here and combined with the 21 anchor can make my next few turns uncomfortable and also make it hard for me to equalize.

Of note is that this rollout only took me 10:45 overnight on the laptop since I smartened up and installed a GNU that can take advantage of HT..ie GNU is effectively using two processors. Previously the LT would not have finished 1296 games for two plays (rather than 3) in less than 12 hours from start.

The score (after 0 games) is: Neil 0, Perry 0

Move number 4: Perry to play 33

Neil	159
Perry	157
Position ID: jGfwATCGZ/ABMA Match ID: cIkNAAAAAAAA

#		Ply	Move	Equity
	1	R	24/21(2) 8/5(2)	+0.4420
			0.5927 0.2076 0.0087 - 0.4073 0.0898 0.0035 +0.3084 +0.4420 0.0014 0.0019 0.0006 - 0.0014 0.0012 0.0003 0.0036 0.0117
			Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
			1296 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 861488530 and quasi-random dice
			Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
			keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.16
			Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
			Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	2	R	24/21(2) 13/10(2)	+0.3658 ( -0.0762)
			0.5773 0.1919 0.0090 - 0.4227 0.0960 0.0038 +0.2557 +0.3658 0.0014 0.0019 0.0004 - 0.0014 0.0014 0.0003 0.0037 0.0101
			Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
			1296 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 861488530 and quasi-random dice
			Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
			keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.16
			Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
			Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	3	R	8/5(2) 6/3(2)	+0.3413 ( -0.1007)
			0.5713 0.2166 0.0136 - 0.4287 0.1254 0.0057 +0.2417 +0.3413 0.0014 0.0018 0.0005 - 0.0014 0.0015 0.0003 0.0038 0.0104
			Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
			1296 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 861488530 and quasi-random dice
			Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
			keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.16
			Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
			Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	4	2	24/21(2) 6/3(2)	+0.2774 ( -0.1646)
			0.5689 0.1804 0.0084 - 0.4311 0.0986 0.0027
	5	2	24/21 13/10 8/5(2)	+0.2584 ( -0.1836)
			0.5631 0.2045 0.0142 - 0.4369 0.1330 0.0055

Messages In This Thread

• 64P 53P 33?
  neilkaz -- Friday, 7 August 2009, at 1:55 a.m.
  • 64P 53P 33?
    dc-ohio -- Friday, 7 August 2009, at 2:01 a.m.
  • 64P 53P 33?
    adambulldog -- Friday, 7 August 2009, at 2:53 a.m.
  • 64P 53P 33?
    Tad Bright -- Friday, 7 August 2009, at 4:38 a.m.
  • 64P 53P 33?
    Havard Raddum -- Friday, 7 August 2009, at 6:00 a.m.
  • 64P 53P 33?
    Stein Kulseth -- Friday, 7 August 2009, at 8:17 a.m.
  • 1296 rollouts give a clear result
    neilkaz -- Friday, 7 August 2009, at 3:47 p.m.