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My OtB take on this

Posted By: Stick
Date: Friday, 7 August 2009, at 7:11 p.m.

In Response To: Falafel Cube Decision from Georgia Part II (Stick)

The score (after 0 games) is: gnubg 4, user 2 (match to 9 points)

Move number 3: user on roll, cube decision?

gnubg100


3X1X '3O2X2X2X2X '2X ' '

 '1X2O2O2O2O2O2O ' ' ' '

user129

Position ID: F9tmABBs2wYABw Match ID: cAkgAUAAEAAA

Cube decision
Rollout cubeless equity +0.393(Money: +0.380)
Cubeful equities:
1.Double, take +0.754
2.Double, pass +1.000 +0.246
3.No double +0.542 -0.213
Proper cube action:Double, take
Rollout details
WinW gW bg LoseL gL bgCubelessCubeful
Centered 1-cube0.6470.1670.005-0.3530.0840.002 +0.393 +0.542
Standard error0.0040.0070.001-0.0040.0040.000 0.012 0.023
Player gnubg owns 2-cube0.6580.1820.006-0.3420.0830.002 +0.923 +0.754
Standard error0.0050.0090.001-0.0050.0060.000 0.029 0.034
Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
108 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 861751686 and quasi-random dice
Play: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 12 more moves within equity 0.16
Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

Perhaps I'm crazy because nobody really seems to agree with me but practically I think this is a terrible cube. With the information I have in front of me I just can't see cubing this. Here are my assumptions for anyone who would like to enlighten me on the error of my ways.

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