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OTB and rollout

Posted By: neilkaz
Date: Saturday, 8 August 2009, at 3:24 a.m.

In Response To: 13 off, should I have cubed this? (neilkaz)

OTB I just couldn't cube this with my 4-1 match lead. Perry had played this endgame perfectly so far and I was certain that he wasn't passing. I might have cubed at an even score since market loss is soon coming if I dance. I danced and Perry rolled a 6 something and properly passed the recube.

The score (after 0 games) is: Perry 1, neilkaz 4 (match to 9 points)

Move number 8: neilkaz on roll, cube decision?

Perry	53
neilkaz	26
Position ID: 7e4GAIAAAAABAA Match ID: cAkgARAAIAAA

• neilkaz doubles

Alert: wrong double ( -0.0324)!

Cube decision
Rollout cubeless equity		+0.4787	(Money: +0.4787)
Cubeful equities:
1.	No double	+0.6928
2.	Double, pass	+1.0000	+0.3072
3.	Double, take	+0.6605	-0.0324
Proper cube action:		No double, take (9.5%)
Rollout details
Win W g W bg Lose L g L bg Cubeless Cubeful Centered 1-cube 0.7393 0.0000 0.0000 - 0.2607 0.0000 0.0000 +0.4787 +0.6928 Standard error 0.0020 0.0000 0.0000 - 0.0020 0.0000 0.0000 0.0040 0.0107 Player Perry owns 2-cube 0.7401 0.0000 0.0000 - 0.2599 0.0000 0.0000 +0.9659 +0.6605 Standard error 0.0022 0.0000 0.0000 - 0.0022 0.0000 0.0000 0.0088 0.0134
Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
1296 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 861786471 and quasi-random dice
Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.16
Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

Messages In This Thread

• 13 off, should I have cubed this?
  neilkaz -- Friday, 7 August 2009, at 2:23 p.m.
  • 13 off, should I have cubed this?
    jdg -- Friday, 7 August 2009, at 3:26 p.m.
  • 13 off, should I have cubed this?
    Rich Munitz -- Friday, 7 August 2009, at 3:44 p.m.
  • 13 off, should I have cubed this?
    Neil Robins -- Friday, 7 August 2009, at 5:20 p.m.
  • 13 off, should I have cubed this?
    David Rockwell -- Friday, 7 August 2009, at 5:37 p.m.
  • 13 off, should I have cubed this?
    Chuck Bower -- Friday, 7 August 2009, at 8:19 p.m.
    • 13 off, should I have cubed this?
      Rich Munitz -- Friday, 7 August 2009, at 8:23 p.m.
  • OTB and rollout
    neilkaz -- Saturday, 8 August 2009, at 3:24 a.m.
  • 13 off, should I have cubed this?
    Timothy Chow -- Saturday, 8 August 2009, at 4:43 p.m.
    • 13 off, should I have cubed this?
      Matt Cohn-Geier -- Sunday, 9 August 2009, at 4:19 a.m.
      • 13 off, should I have cubed this?
        Timothy Chow -- Sunday, 9 August 2009, at 5:41 p.m.