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Luck Adjusted Result

Posted By: sonrik
Date: Monday, 10 August 2009, at 6:40 a.m.

In Response To: Luck Adjusted Result (Jason Lee)

øystein johansen(one of the men behind gnu) answered a few questions regarding lar in our norwegian forum-ill try to translate:

is lar a better estimate than the usual numbers u get from gnu(snowienumbers/mwc and so on...) -in a single match, no.

how many matches do u have to play to get a reliable lar-result? -after many matches, u can calculate the standard deviation of the lar. then u can conclude something like this: "its x% sure that player a plays better than player b." remember that lar depends on your opponent."

ive played a lot of dmp's against a friend of mine. can lar be used to analyze this session? -this is the perferct example. the players and matchlength are 'constant'. then u can estimate the lar-average and standard deviation.

___

im pretty sure its easier AND better just to use the snowienumbers, in combo with the mwc given away. biased, yes...but pretty accurate imho.

Messages In This Thread

• Luck Adjusted Result
  Jason Lee -- Friday, 7 August 2009, at 11:47 p.m.
  • Luck Adjusted Result
    Maik Stiebler -- Saturday, 8 August 2009, at 7:55 a.m.
    • Luck Adjusted Result
      Bob Koca -- Saturday, 8 August 2009, at 7:05 p.m.
  • Luck Adjusted Result
    Jason Lee -- Sunday, 9 August 2009, at 12:40 a.m.
    • Luck Adjusted Result
      Maik Stiebler -- Sunday, 9 August 2009, at 8:26 a.m.
      • Luck Adjusted Result
        Christian Munk-Christensen -- Sunday, 9 August 2009, at 1:15 p.m.
        • Luck Adjusted Result
          Maik Stiebler -- Sunday, 9 August 2009, at 5:03 p.m.
          • Luck Adjusted Result
            Christian Munk-Christensen -- Sunday, 9 August 2009, at 6:25 p.m.
            • Luck Adjusted Result
              MaX -- Monday, 10 August 2009, at 11:27 a.m.
              • Luck Adjusted Result
                Maik Stiebler -- Tuesday, 11 August 2009, at 10:30 p.m.
                • Luck Adjusted Result
                  MaX -- Wednesday, 12 August 2009, at 11:45 a.m.
                  • Luck Adjusted Result
                    Tom Keith -- Wednesday, 12 August 2009, at 1:08 p.m.
                    • Luck Adjusted Result
                      MaX -- Saturday, 15 August 2009, at 8:05 p.m.
        • Luck Adjusted Result
          sonrik -- Sunday, 9 August 2009, at 9:22 p.m.
          • Luck Adjusted Result
            Jason Lee -- Sunday, 9 August 2009, at 10:40 p.m.
            • Luck Adjusted Result
              sonrik -- Monday, 10 August 2009, at 6:40 a.m.