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Rollout

Posted By: Stick
Date: Tuesday, 11 August 2009, at 1:16 a.m.

In Response To: 42 to play from Georgia (Stick)

After making what seems to be the right play I was criticized by a few because it went sour of course. My opponent hit with a 63 and then I danced, yada yada yada.

This play seemed clear to me as I desperately need as many men aiming at my open 4 and 5 points as possible for when my opponent steps up and can't escape or can't escape at all. I leave 6 immediate shots but even when I do get hit (1/6th of the time) I hit back just over 30% of the time grabbing another blot which is pretty big. So overall I estimated it cost me only ~6% of the time OtB. The gains seemed to outweigh this as the rollout confirms.

The score (after 0 games) is: gnubg 10, user 1 (match to 11 points, post-Crawford play)

gnubg	82
user	152
Position ID: b3EbABCM22AJBg Match ID: QQlxAaAACAAA

• user moves 14/10 13/11

#		Ply	Move	Equity
•	1	R	14/10 13/11	+0.459
			0.628 0.140 0.006 - 0.372 0.270 0.014 +0.459 +0.459 0.001 0.002 0.000 - 0.001 0.006 0.002 0.004 0.004
			Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
			2067 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 861402834 and quasi-random dice
			Play: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
			keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 12 more moves within equity 0.16
			Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
			Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	2	R	13/7	+0.448 ( -0.011)
			0.624 0.137 0.005 - 0.376 0.257 0.008 +0.448 +0.448 0.001 0.002 0.000 - 0.001 0.006 0.001 0.004 0.004
			Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
			2066 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 861402834 and quasi-random dice
			Play: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
			keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 12 more moves within equity 0.16
			Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
			Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	3	R	13/11 13/9	+0.434 ( -0.025)
			0.617 0.137 0.006 - 0.383 0.261 0.015 +0.434 +0.434 0.003 0.003 0.001 - 0.003 0.009 0.004 0.007 0.007
			Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
			512 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 861402834 and quasi-random dice
			Play: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
			keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 12 more moves within equity 0.16
			Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
			Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	4	R	16/12 13/11	+0.433 ( -0.026)
			0.623 0.128 0.006 - 0.377 0.262 0.010 +0.433 +0.433 0.003 0.003 0.001 - 0.003 0.010 0.003 0.008 0.008
			Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
			512 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 861402834 and quasi-random dice
			Play: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
			keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 12 more moves within equity 0.16
			Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
			Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	5	R	16/10	+0.432 ( -0.027)
			0.620 0.133 0.005 - 0.380 0.277 0.010 +0.432 +0.432 0.003 0.003 0.001 - 0.003 0.012 0.003 0.007 0.007
			Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
			512 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 861402834 and quasi-random dice
			Play: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
			keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 12 more moves within equity 0.16
			Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
			Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	6	R	14/12 13/9	+0.424 ( -0.035)
			0.613 0.137 0.004 - 0.387 0.263 0.010 +0.424 +0.424 0.003 0.004 0.001 - 0.003 0.009 0.003 0.007 0.007
			Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
			511 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 861402834 and quasi-random dice
			Play: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
			keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 12 more moves within equity 0.16
			Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
			Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

Messages In This Thread

• 42 to play from Georgia
  Stick -- Monday, 10 August 2009, at 3:29 a.m.
  • 42 to play from Georgia
    Rich Munitz -- Monday, 10 August 2009, at 4:57 a.m.
  • 42 to play from Georgia
    Havard Raddum -- Monday, 10 August 2009, at 6:19 a.m.
  • 42 to play from Georgia
    Stein Kulseth -- Monday, 10 August 2009, at 8:39 a.m.
  • 42 to play from Georgia
    mamabear -- Monday, 10 August 2009, at 1:13 p.m.
  • 42 to play from Georgia
    Chuck Bower -- Monday, 10 August 2009, at 2:16 p.m.
  • 42 to play from Georgia
    Keene -- Monday, 10 August 2009, at 3:53 p.m.
  • 42 to play from Georgia
    Gustavo Goldfarb -- Monday, 10 August 2009, at 5:03 p.m.
  • 42 to play from Georgia
    garyo -- Monday, 10 August 2009, at 5:17 p.m.
  • Rollout
    Stick -- Tuesday, 11 August 2009, at 1:16 a.m.
    • Rollout
      neilkaz -- Tuesday, 11 August 2009, at 3:20 a.m.