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BGonline.org Forums
Snowie must be drunk!
Posted By: Petter Bengtsson In Response To: Snowie must be drunk! (Chuck Bower)
Date: Thursday, 13 August 2009, at 11:40 p.m.
An exact calculation of White's cubeful winning chances:
Black rolls 32 or 31, White wins with the cube. That's 4x36x36=5184 wins in 46656 games.
Black rolls 21, White rolls a non-winning roll, Black rolls 11, 21, 31 or 32. 2x31x7=434.
Black rolls 11, White rolls a non-winning roll, Black rolls 21. 1x31x2=62.
Black rolls anything but 66, 55, 44, 32 or 31, White rolls a winning doublet. 29x5x36=5220.
Total is 10900 wins in 46656 games which is less than the 25% needed.
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