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-3 -7 cube - ROLLOUT

Posted By: Keene
Date: Friday, 14 August 2009, at 12:46 a.m.

In Response To: -3 -7 cube (Keene)

So, it dinged me for a ND (below rollout on 2/2), big enough to make me pay attention!

The score (after 4 games) is: Antoinette 2, kilted 6 (match to 9 points)

Move number 39: kilted to play 21

Antoinette	139
kilted	134
Position ID: xj4NABxs21BgQA Match ID: cAklASAAMAAA

• kilted moves bar/24 11/9

Cube decision
Rollout cubeless equity		+0.732	(Money: +0.794)
Cubeful equities:
1.	No double	+0.838
2.	Double, pass	+1.000	+0.162
3.	Double, take	+0.776	-0.062
Proper cube action:		No double, take (27.6%)
Rollout details
Win W g W bg Lose L g L bg Cubeless Cubeful Centered 1-cube 0.791 0.258 0.029 - 0.209 0.070 0.004 +0.732 +0.838 Standard error 0.001 0.002 0.003 - 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.004 0.009 Player Antoinette owns 2-cube 0.786 0.271 0.076 - 0.214 0.066 0.007 +1.202 +0.776 Standard error 0.002 0.004 0.005 - 0.002 0.001 0.002 0.012 0.030
Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
1296 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 867022168 and quasi-random dice
Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.16
Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

#		Ply	Move	Equity
	1	2	bar/24 12/10	+0.892
			0.806 0.263 0.010 - 0.194 0.061 0.002
•	2	2	bar/24 11/9	+0.891 ( -0.001)
			0.805 0.258 0.009 - 0.195 0.062 0.002
	3	2	bar/22	+0.869 ( -0.022)
			0.808 0.276 0.011 - 0.192 0.071 0.003
	4	0	bar/24 7/5	+0.360 ( -0.531)
			0.682 0.236 0.010 - 0.318 0.144 0.009
	5	0	bar/24 3/1	+0.207 ( -0.685)
			0.655 0.208 0.008 - 0.345 0.180 0.009

The score (after 4 games) is: Antoinette 2, kilted 6 (match to 9 points)

Move number 39: kilted to play 21

Antoinette	139
kilted	134
Position ID: xj4NABxs21BgQA Match ID: cAklASAAMAAA

• kilted moves bar/24 11/9

Alert: missed double ( -0.073)! [bad]

Cube decision
2-ply cubeless equity		+0.800	(Money: +0.795)
	0.797 0.265 0.013 - 0.203 0.073 0.003
Cubeful equities:
1.	Double, take	+0.923
2.	Double, pass	+1.000	+0.077
3.	No double	+0.850	-0.073
Proper cube action:		Double, take

#		Ply	Move	Equity
	1	2	bar/24 12/10	+0.892
			0.806 0.263 0.010 - 0.194 0.061 0.002
•	2	2	bar/24 11/9	+0.891 ( -0.001)
			0.805 0.258 0.009 - 0.195 0.062 0.002
	3	2	bar/22	+0.869 ( -0.022)
			0.808 0.276 0.011 - 0.192 0.071 0.003
	4	0	bar/24 7/5	+0.360 ( -0.531)
			0.682 0.236 0.010 - 0.318 0.144 0.009
	5	0	bar/24 3/1	+0.207 ( -0.685)
			0.655 0.208 0.008 - 0.345 0.180 0.009

Messages In This Thread

• -3 -7 cube
  Keene -- Tuesday, 11 August 2009, at 1:00 a.m.
  • -3 -7 cube
    neilkaz -- Tuesday, 11 August 2009, at 3:29 a.m.
  • -3 -7 cube
    Stick -- Tuesday, 11 August 2009, at 3:32 a.m.
    • -3 -7 cube
      Gregg Cattanach -- Tuesday, 11 August 2009, at 7:54 p.m.
    • -3 -7 cube
      Chuck Bower -- Tuesday, 11 August 2009, at 9:04 p.m.
      • -3 -7 cube
        Stick -- Tuesday, 11 August 2009, at 10:02 p.m.
  • -3 -7 cube
    Neil Robins -- Tuesday, 11 August 2009, at 11:43 a.m.
  • -3 -7 cube - ROLLOUT
    Keene -- Friday, 14 August 2009, at 12:46 a.m.
    • -3 -7 cube - ROLLOUT
      Stick -- Friday, 14 August 2009, at 12:56 a.m.
      • -3 -7 cube - ROLLOUT
        Keene -- Friday, 14 August 2009, at 3:05 a.m.
    • -3 -7 cube - ROLLOUT
      Chuck Bower -- Friday, 14 August 2009, at 12:45 p.m.
    • Longer Rollout running
      Neil Robins -- Friday, 14 August 2009, at 4:24 p.m.
      • Opposite Rollout Result
        Neil Robins -- Friday, 14 August 2009, at 7:29 p.m.