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bearoff - double?

Posted By: Petter Bengtsson
Date: Friday, 14 August 2009, at 12:43 p.m.

In Response To: bearoff - double? (Toppace)

White's cubeless game winning chances:

Blue rolls anything but 66, 55, 44 or 33. White rolls a winning doublet. 32x5x36=5760 wins in 46656 games.

Blue rolls 21. White rolls a non-winning roll. Blue rolls one of his 19 bad rolls. 2x31x19=1178.

Blue rolls 61, 51, 41, 31 or 11. White rolls a non-winning roll. Blue rolls one of his 11 bad rolls. 9x31x11=3069.

Blue rolls 62, 52, 42 or 32. White rolls a non-winning roll. Blue rolls one of his 2 bad rolls. 8x31x2=496.

Total is 10503 wins in 46656 games = 22.51%


How much recube vig does White have after double/take?

Very little recube vig. Only after Blue rolls a 21 does he have a redouble. That's something, but not enough for a take.

Conclusion: double/pass

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