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MCG vs. Stick Play #1 ROLLOUT

Posted By: Matt Cohn-Geier
Date: Sunday, 16 August 2009, at 8:12 p.m.

In Response To: MCG vs. Stick Play #1 (Matt Cohn-Geier)

I win, for all the reasons that Neil stated. Way too easy to get counterprimed after hitting loose.

11/8 was my second choice but I figured I had to hit to prevent him from making the 4 point.

The score (after 0 games) is: White 10, Blue 3 (match to 11 points, post-Crawford play)

Move number 5: White to play 11

White123


1O1O2X '2X2X2X2X2X '2X1O

 '2O2O1O '2O2O2O ' ' '1O

Blue128

Position ID: tmxDASjMts0AQA Match ID: AYFkAaAAGAAA

• White moves bar/24 11/10 3/2*(2)

# Ply Move Equity
1 R bar/24 11/10 3/2*(2) +0.3316
0.71220.37150.0592-0.28780.06050.0026 +0.3316 +0.3316
0.00100.00340.0019-0.00100.00070.0002 0.0025 0.0025
Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
5184 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 866754124 and quasi-random dice
Play: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 12 more moves within equity 0.2
Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
2 R bar/24 11/8 +0.3172 ( -0.0144)
0.70080.30260.0291-0.29920.05590.0018 +0.3172 +0.3172
0.00100.00350.0013-0.00100.00080.0002 0.0024 0.0024
Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
5184 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 866754124 and quasi-random dice
Play: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 12 more moves within equity 0.2
Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
3 R bar/24 11/10(2) 3/2* +0.2794 ( -0.0522)
0.70310.27490.0327-0.29690.08180.0043 +0.2794 +0.2794
0.00130.00310.0014-0.00130.00100.0003 0.0037 0.0037
Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
5184 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 866754124 and quasi-random dice
Play: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 12 more moves within equity 0.2
Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
4 R bar/24 11/9 11/10 +0.2681 ( -0.0635)
0.68790.30150.0332-0.31210.07170.0020 +0.2681 +0.2681
0.00200.00680.0029-0.00200.00150.0002 0.0048 0.0048
Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
1297 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 866754124 and quasi-random dice
Play: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 12 more moves within equity 0.2
Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

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