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BGonline.org Forums
MCG vs. Stick Play #1 ROLLOUT
Posted By: Matt Cohn-Geier In Response To: MCG vs. Stick Play #1 (Matt Cohn-Geier)
Date: Sunday, 16 August 2009, at 8:12 p.m.
I win, for all the reasons that Neil stated. Way too easy to get counterprimed after hitting loose.
11/8 was my second choice but I figured I had to hit to prevent him from making the 4 point.
The score (after 0 games) is: White 10, Blue 3 (match to 11 points, post-Crawford play)
Move number 5: White to play 11
White 123
Blue 128 Position ID: tmxDASjMts0AQA Match ID: AYFkAaAAGAAA
• White moves bar/24 11/10 3/2*(2)
# Ply Move Equity • 1 R bar/24 11/10 3/2*(2) +0.3316
0.7122 0.3715 0.0592 - 0.2878 0.0605 0.0026 +0.3316 +0.3316 0.0010 0.0034 0.0019 - 0.0010 0.0007 0.0002 0.0025 0.0025 Full cubeful rollout with var.redn. 5184 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 866754124 and quasi-random dice Play: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 12 more moves within equity 0.2 Skip pruning for 1-ply moves. Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] 2 R bar/24 11/8 +0.3172 ( -0.0144)
0.7008 0.3026 0.0291 - 0.2992 0.0559 0.0018 +0.3172 +0.3172 0.0010 0.0035 0.0013 - 0.0010 0.0008 0.0002 0.0024 0.0024 Full cubeful rollout with var.redn. 5184 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 866754124 and quasi-random dice Play: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 12 more moves within equity 0.2 Skip pruning for 1-ply moves. Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] 3 R bar/24 11/10(2) 3/2* +0.2794 ( -0.0522)
0.7031 0.2749 0.0327 - 0.2969 0.0818 0.0043 +0.2794 +0.2794 0.0013 0.0031 0.0014 - 0.0013 0.0010 0.0003 0.0037 0.0037 Full cubeful rollout with var.redn. 5184 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 866754124 and quasi-random dice Play: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 12 more moves within equity 0.2 Skip pruning for 1-ply moves. Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] 4 R bar/24 11/9 11/10 +0.2681 ( -0.0635)
0.6879 0.3015 0.0332 - 0.3121 0.0717 0.0020 +0.2681 +0.2681 0.0020 0.0068 0.0029 - 0.0020 0.0015 0.0002 0.0048 0.0048 Full cubeful rollout with var.redn. 1297 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 866754124 and quasi-random dice Play: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 12 more moves within equity 0.2 Skip pruning for 1-ply moves. Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
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