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Re: More odd cube action

Posted By: Matt Cohn-Geier
Date: Tuesday, 1 May 2007, at 1:24 a.m.

In Response To: More odd cube action (Stick)

ND/B. Could be a take, but White has plenty of life after death even after getting hit twice, and he has 7 immediate cashes/possible play-ons. Robertie's Rule: give Blue a slightly favorable sequence: 41, hitting two, give White a slightly unfavorable sequence, entering one checker on the deuce point. Is Blue a favorite after giving the cube away? Not clear. Closing two out only brings him to 80%ish without the cube (which is somewhat past the point, but relatively close to where he should be considering doubling), and he's a very long way away from that. Hence: pretty clear beaver. Gammons may not matter all that much since White will likely be forced to cash most of them, but Blue just doesn't win enough games without the cube.

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