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crunched 32 backgame ROLLOUTS
Posted By: Petter Bengtsson In Response To: crunched 32 backgame (Petter Bengtsson)
Date: Sunday, 16 August 2009, at 9:51 p.m.
I always have trouble finding the best play in positions like this one. Should I keep the prime or make a trap play, and which trap play? I got this one right :-)
Neil had a very good point why breaking the bar-point is the best idea. If you haven't read what he wrote, please do so.
Three rollouts here; the posted position and two variants with minor changes to White's home board.
The score is: gnubg 0, petter 0 (match to 5 points)
petter to play 62
gnubg 171
petter 100 Position ID: rwMA4Bu42zYEAA Match ID: QQmrAAAAAAAA
• petter moves 13/11 7/1
# Ply Move Equity • 1 R 13/11 7/1 +1,6477
0,9367 0,5957 0,0346 - 0,0633 0,0014 0,0000 +1,6773 +1,6477 0,0018 0,0029 0,0016 - 0,0018 0,0003 0,0000 0,0056 0,0065 Full cubeful rollout with var.redn. 1296 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 866708922 and quasi-random dice Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0,16 Skip pruning for 1-ply moves. Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] 2 R 7/5 7/1 +1,6178 ( -0,0299)
0,9265 0,5916 0,0382 - 0,0735 0,0009 0,0001 +1,6556 +1,6178 0,0018 0,0028 0,0016 - 0,0018 0,0004 0,0001 0,0055 0,0065 Full cubeful rollout with var.redn. 1296 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 866708922 and quasi-random dice Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0,16 Skip pruning for 1-ply moves. Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] 3 R 13/5 +1,5982 ( -0,0495)
0,9274 0,5760 0,0356 - 0,0726 0,0011 0,0001 +1,6348 +1,5982 0,0018 0,0028 0,0014 - 0,0018 0,0006 0,0001 0,0054 0,0065 Full cubeful rollout with var.redn. 1296 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 866708922 and quasi-random dice Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0,16 Skip pruning for 1-ply moves. Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] 4 R 13/7 8/6 +1,5671 ( -0,0806)
0,9216 0,5652 0,0350 - 0,0784 0,0014 0,0000 +1,6086 +1,5671 0,0017 0,0028 0,0015 - 0,0017 0,0003 0,0001 0,0053 0,0062 Full cubeful rollout with var.redn. 1296 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 866708922 and quasi-random dice Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0,16 Skip pruning for 1-ply moves. Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] 5 R 8/6 7/1 +1,4953 ( -0,1524)
0,9099 0,5338 0,0336 - 0,0901 0,0054 0,0001 +1,5374 +1,4953 0,0020 0,0030 0,0015 - 0,0020 0,0005 0,0000 0,0062 0,0071 Full cubeful rollout with var.redn. 1296 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 866708922 and quasi-random dice Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0,16 Skip pruning for 1-ply moves. Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
The score is: gnubg 0, petter 0 (match to 5 points)
petter to play 62
gnubg 172
petter 100 Position ID: twMA4Bu42zYEAA Match ID: QQmrAAAAAAAA
• petter moves 13/11 7/1
# Ply Move Equity • 1 R 13/11 7/1 +1,5489
0,9213 0,5572 0,0288 - 0,0787 0,0028 0,0000 +1,5894 +1,5489 0,0018 0,0027 0,0012 - 0,0018 0,0004 0,0000 0,0052 0,0062 Full cubeful rollout with var.redn. 1296 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 866917274 and quasi-random dice Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0,16 Skip pruning for 1-ply moves. Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] 2 R 7/5 7/1 +1,5458 ( -0,0031)
0,9165 0,5633 0,0302 - 0,0835 0,0019 0,0000 +1,5899 +1,5458 0,0019 0,0029 0,0012 - 0,0019 0,0004 0,0017 0,0055 0,0065 Full cubeful rollout with var.redn. 1296 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 866917274 and quasi-random dice Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0,16 Skip pruning for 1-ply moves. Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] 3 R 13/5 +1,5122 ( -0,0367)
0,9113 0,5491 0,0282 - 0,0887 0,0014 0,0000 +1,5588 +1,5122 0,0019 0,0028 0,0012 - 0,0019 0,0004 0,0023 0,0053 0,0062 Full cubeful rollout with var.redn. 1296 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 866917274 and quasi-random dice Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0,16 Skip pruning for 1-ply moves. Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] 4 R 13/7 8/6 +1,4712 ( -0,0777)
0,9107 0,5232 0,0231 - 0,0893 0,0021 0,0001 +1,5179 +1,4712 0,0017 0,0026 0,0011 - 0,0017 0,0003 0,0000 0,0049 0,0058 Full cubeful rollout with var.redn. 1296 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 866917274 and quasi-random dice Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0,16 Skip pruning for 1-ply moves. Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
The score is: gnubg 0, petter 0 (match to 5 points)
petter to play 62
gnubg 170
petter 100 Position ID: bwMA4Bu42zYEAA Match ID: QQmrAAAAAAAA
• petter moves 13/11 7/1
# Ply Move Equity • 1 R 13/11 7/1 +1,6163
0,9366 0,5763 0,0321 - 0,0634 0,0017 0,0000 +1,6481 +1,6163 0,0017 0,0030 0,0016 - 0,0017 0,0004 0,0000 0,0056 0,0063 Full cubeful rollout with var.redn. 1296 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 866992395 and quasi-random dice Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0,16 Skip pruning for 1-ply moves. Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] 2 R 7/5 7/1 +1,6105 ( -0,0058)
0,9316 0,5806 0,0330 - 0,0684 0,0013 0,0001 +1,6455 +1,6105 0,0017 0,0028 0,0013 - 0,0017 0,0017 0,0001 0,0053 0,0061 Full cubeful rollout with var.redn. 1296 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 866992395 and quasi-random dice Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0,16 Skip pruning for 1-ply moves. Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] 3 R 13/5 +1,5917 ( -0,0246)
0,9314 0,5638 0,0334 - 0,0686 0,0010 0,0000 +1,6249 +1,5917 0,0018 0,0029 0,0013 - 0,0018 0,0005 0,0000 0,0056 0,0065 Full cubeful rollout with var.redn. 1296 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 866992395 and quasi-random dice Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0,16 Skip pruning for 1-ply moves. Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] 4 R 13/7 8/6 +1,5356 ( -0,0807)
0,9254 0,5396 0,0266 - 0,0746 0,0016 0,0000 +1,5739 +1,5356 0,0017 0,0027 0,0013 - 0,0017 0,0005 0,0000 0,0051 0,0061 Full cubeful rollout with var.redn. 1296 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 866992395 and quasi-random dice Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0,16 Skip pruning for 1-ply moves. Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
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