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MCG vs. Stick Cube #1 ROLLOUT

Posted By: eXtreme Gammon
Date: Tuesday, 18 August 2009, at 2:19 a.m.

In Response To: MCG vs. Stick Cube #1 ROLLOUT (Matt Cohn-Geier)

eXtreme Gammon is giving that as a big double/take

is Player 2

score: 8
pip: 95
11 point match
6
 pip: 93
score: 0

is Player 1
XGID=-B-DaaBF--a--------b-ccbbA:0:0:-1:00:0:8:0:11:8
on roll, cube action?


Analyzed in Rollout
Player Winning Chances: 80.07% (G: 5.57% B: 0.05%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 19.93% (G: 1.19% B: 0.04%)
Cubeless Equities
No Double:+0.638
Double:+1.122
Cubeful Equities
No Double:+0.774 (-0.065)
Double/Take:+0.839
Double/Drop:+1.000 (+0.161)
Best Cube action: Double / Take
Rollout details
5760 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 3
Moves: 3 ply Red, cube decisions: 3 ply
Confidence No Double: ± 0.004 (+0.770...+0.778)
Confidence Double: ± 0.008 (+0.831...+0.847)
Double Decision confidence: 100.0%
Take Decision confidence: 100.0%
Duration: 7 minutes 21 seconds

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