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MCG vs. SM Cube #3 ROLLOUT

Posted By: Matt Cohn-Geier
Date: Tuesday, 18 August 2009, at 7:19 a.m.

In Response To: MCG vs. SM Cube #3 (Matt Cohn-Geier)

I really wasn't sure about this one but I thought it was right on the edge and took. Stick thought it was a pass at the time. I rolled great and recubed him out later.

The score (after 0 games) is: GNU bg 0, user 1 (match to 9 points)

Move number 2: user on roll, cube decision?

GNU bg	194
user	166
Position ID: 4HMwIE4sc2ECMg Match ID: cAkgAQAACAAA

• user doubles

Cube decision
Rollout cubeless equity		+0.6463	(Money: +0.6250)
Cubeful equities:
1.	Double, pass	+1.0000
2.	Double, take	+1.0524	+0.0524
3.	No double	+0.8492	-0.1508
Proper cube action:		Double, pass
Rollout details
Win W g W bg Lose L g L bg Cubeless Cubeful Centered 1-cube 0.6632 0.3352 0.0425 - 0.3368 0.0747 0.0044 +0.6463 +0.8492 Standard error 0.0010 0.0011 0.0010 - 0.0010 0.0005 0.0002 0.0036 0.0084 Player GNU bg owns 2-cube 0.6669 0.3461 0.0510 - 0.3331 0.0734 0.0056 +1.3984 +1.0524 Standard error 0.0014 0.0016 0.0016 - 0.0014 0.0006 0.0003 0.0107 0.0130
Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
10368 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 867061911 and quasi-random dice
Play: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 12 more moves within equity 0.2
Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

Messages In This Thread

• MCG vs. SM Cube #3
  Matt Cohn-Geier -- Monday, 17 August 2009, at 8:16 a.m.
  • MCG vs. SM Cube #3
    misja -- Monday, 17 August 2009, at 3:30 p.m.
  • MCG vs. SM Cube #3
    Chuck Bower -- Monday, 17 August 2009, at 4:52 p.m.
  • MCG vs. SM Cube #3
    Keene -- Monday, 17 August 2009, at 5:58 p.m.
    • MCG vs. SM Cube #3
      neilkaz -- Monday, 17 August 2009, at 6:14 p.m.
      • MCG vs. SM Cube #3
        Stick -- Monday, 17 August 2009, at 6:28 p.m.
        • MCG vs. SM Cube #3
          neilkaz -- Monday, 17 August 2009, at 6:31 p.m.
          • MCG vs. SM Cube #3
            Keene -- Monday, 17 August 2009, at 7:49 p.m.
  • MCG vs. SM Cube #3 ROLLOUT
    Matt Cohn-Geier -- Tuesday, 18 August 2009, at 7:19 a.m.
    • MCG vs. SM Cube #3 ROLLOUT
      Stick -- Tuesday, 18 August 2009, at 10:57 p.m.