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Rollout Results

Posted By: Timothy Chow
Date: Thursday, 20 August 2009, at 2:58 a.m.

In Response To: Rollout Results (rory)

I thought it was a drop, but after seeing other people's responses I'm not sure any more, despite the rollout.

My thinking was, "four in a row is more than you think." It's very difficult for White to win this game. White isn't anchored yet, so Blue is very likely to make at least a five-out-of-six prime and/or to attack, after which White's main asset (nearly equal pip count) will almost certainly dissipate. Then what is White's game plan? Holding Blue's back checkers? With two of White's checkers trapped behind a five-prime, Blue can practically waltz home with impunity, not worrying about getting hit.

Almost any improvement in White's position would make a big difference, though. For example, just moving White's checker from the 3-point to the 4-point (so that it can escape with a 6 if it is not hit) might make a significant difference in equity.

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