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Rollout to shock some of you back to reality

Posted By: neilkaz
Date: Saturday, 22 August 2009, at 1:47 a.m.

In Response To: Cube action in reality? (Coolrey)

Like I thought, this is about the worst recube ever at this score. If White can't get by, he should be recubed for match..and maybe he should be recubed if he hits.

The score (after 0 games) is: Opp 1, neilkaz 0 (match to 7 points)

Move number 5: Opp on roll, cube decision?


dX1X ' ' ' ' ' ' ' '1O '

'3O3O2O3O2O1X ' ' ' ' '

Pip counts: Opp 33, neilkaz 64
Position ID: 7nYDBID/LwBAAA Match ID: AQHgABAAAAAA

• Opp doubles

Alert: wrong double ( -0.4125)!

Cube decision
Rollout cubeless equity +0.2005(Money: +0.2018)
Cubeful equities:
1.No double +0.4070
2.Double, pass +1.0000 +0.5930
3.Double, take -0.0055 -0.4125
Proper cube action:No redouble, take (41.0%)
Rollout details
WinW gW bg LoseL gL bgCubelessCubeful
Player Opp owns 2-cube0.61220.00000.0000-0.38780.02220.0004 +0.2005 +0.4070
Standard error0.00040.00000.0000-0.00040.00100.0009 0.0013 0.0026
Player neilkaz owns 4-cube0.61070.00000.0000-0.38930.01810.0009 +0.4445 -0.0055
Standard error0.00040.00000.0000-0.00040.00340.0005 0.0025 0.0035
Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
406 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 866455843 and quasi-random dice
Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.16
Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

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