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Rollout

Posted By: Neil Robins
Date: Tuesday, 25 August 2009, at 4:47 p.m.

In Response To: A 32 to play (Neil Robins)

This is definitely close with gammons only counting in your favour. I did a GNU rollout of equal length for the top three moves, but I have stupidly lost it. The GNU rollout had just turned significant in favour of 8/6 5/2 ahead of 24/21 6/4 with slightly lower equities for all the candidates. XG v XG wins a few more gammons on all the moves than GNU v GNU. I don't know why.

g11 MET.

is nia_3255 score: 7 pip: 113

9 point match

pip: 90 score: 4 is Anterico

XGID=aAABBCC-B-------bbbdb-b-A-:1:-1:1:32:4:7:0:9:10

to play 32

1.	Rollout1	24/21 6/4	eq: +0.143
	Player: Opponent: 47.69% (G:13.29% B:0.37%) 52.31% (G:14.08% B:1.39%) Conf: ± 0.002 (+0.141...+0.145) Duration: 2 hours 21 minutes 57 seconds
2.	Rollout1	8/6 5/2	eq: +0.141 (-0.002)
	Player: Opponent: 48.01% (G:12.80% B:0.20%) 51.99% (G:9.22% B:0.68%) Conf: ± 0.003 (+0.138...+0.144) Duration: 2 hours 38 minutes 17 seconds
3.	Rollout1	24/21 5/3	eq: +0.138 (-0.004)
	Player: Opponent: 47.31% (G:13.50% B:0.36%) 52.69% (G:14.08% B:1.34%) Conf: ± 0.002 (+0.136...+0.140) Duration: 2 hours 20 minutes 10 seconds
4.	Rollout2	6/1	eq: +0.090 (-0.053)
	Player: Opponent: 46.48% (G:11.41% B:0.12%) 53.52% (G:9.96% B:0.77%) Conf: ± 0.007 (+0.083...+0.097) Duration: 16 minutes 10 seconds
5.	Rollout2	4/2 4/1	eq: +0.062 (-0.081)
	Player: Opponent: 45.99% (G:10.17% B:0.08%) 54.01% (G:5.93% B:0.23%) Conf: ± 0.006 (+0.056...+0.068) Duration: 17 minutes 52 seconds
1 20736 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Moves and cube decisions: 3 ply 2 2592 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Moves and cube decisions: 3 ply

Messages In This Thread

• A 32 to play
  Neil Robins -- Sunday, 23 August 2009, at 7:39 a.m.
  • A 32 to play
    Chuck Bower -- Monday, 24 August 2009, at 4:19 p.m.
  • Rollout
    Neil Robins -- Tuesday, 25 August 2009, at 4:47 p.m.
  • A 32 to play
    Keene -- Tuesday, 25 August 2009, at 4:58 p.m.